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HomeMy WebLinkAboutInvestment Reports - Jan & Feb 2006CITY OF PALM DESERT FINANCE DEPARTMENT INTEROFFICE MEMORANDUM TO: RACHELLE KLASSEN, CITY CLERK FROM: NIAMH ORTEGA, RECORDING SECRETARY\ DATE: APRIL 4, 2006 SUBJECT: COMPLIANCE ANALYSIS AND INVESTMENT REPORTS Please find attached the Compliance Analysis and Investment Reports for January and February 2006 which were presented and approved at the meeting of March 28, 2006. Please include on the upcoming agenda for review and acceptance by City Council. Please feel free to contact me at Ext. 382 if you have any questions. Thank you. nmo Attachment (as noted) G\Finance\Niamh Ortega\WpdocsMnvestment Committee\Memos\rklasseninvreport012605.wpd Paul S. Gibson, C.C.M.T., Treasurer Thomas W. Jeffrey, J.D., M.B.A., Deputy City Treasurer Treasurer's Commentary The next two meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will be on March 27-28, and on May 10. The market consensus is that the FOMC will raise the Federal Funds Rate by 50 basis points (b.p.) to 5.00% over the next two meetings. The market has assigned a 98% probability to a 25 b.p. hike in March, and an 80% probability to another 25 b.p. hike in May. The perception is that FOMC rate hikes have historically been driven by the interaction of the Unemployment Rate, and the Manufacturing Capacity Utilization Rate (CAPU). In other words, the FOMC has increased short-term interest rates when the Unemployment Rate has bottomed out, and the CAPU has approached 80%. U.S. economic growth for 2006 is currently being forecast at 3.00 -- 3.50%, with inflation at 2.40%. With the real estate market slowing, economic growth is now thought to be in the sustainable range. The inversion of the Treasury "yield curve" is expected to deepen, due to policy -driven increases on the short end of the curve. At the end of 2006, it is thought that 10-year U.S. Treasury Notes will yield about 5.25%, versus 4.75°10 currently. Thirty-year fixed-rate mortgages are expected to yield about 6.75% during the same time period. The real estate market will dramatically slow when 30-year fixed-rate mortgages hit 7.00%. A downturn in the housing market is the single greatest risk to the U.S. economy in 2007. Dollars in Thousands Pa d'S. G C..CM 7 Treasurer PORTFOLIO STATISTICS FEB-06 JAN-06 DEC-05 NOV-05 OCT-05 SEP-05 CITY Month -End Book Value*** $ 147,007 $ 147,649 $ 143,187 $ 146,910 $ 148,655 $ 149,081 Month -End Market Value*** $ 146,312 $ 146,991 $ 142,231 $ 145,957 $ 148,157 $ 148,892 Paper Gain (Loss) $ (695) $ (658) $ (956) $ (953) $ (498) $ (189) Prior Year Book Variance $ 4,320 $ 7,431 $ 18,463 $ 18,308 $ 18,105 $ 16,961 Interest Earnings $ 476 $ 454 $ 460 $ 440 $ 444 $ 431 Yield -To -Maturity 4.31% 4.06% 3.95% 3.81% 3.67% 3.56% Weighted Maturity (Days) 414 210 215 215 214 211 Effective Duration 0.76 0.27 0.29 0.31 0.33 0.35 RDA Month -End Book Value*** $ 153,652 $ 151,779 $ 125,395 $ 121,211 $ 123,243 $ 126,018 Month -End Market Value *** $ 153,233 $ 151,479 $ 124,957 $ 120,754 $ 122,833 $ 125,695 Paper Gain (Loss) $ (419) $ (300) $ (438) $ (457) $ (410) $ (323) Prior Year Book Variance $ (5,453) $ (8,781) $ (22,407) $ (27,519) $ (25,906) $ (33,342) Interest Eamings $ 494 $ 435 $ 385 $ 361 $ 350 $ 374 Yield -To -Maturity 4.26% 3.99% 3.82% 3.68% 3.54% 3.42% Weighted Maturity (Days) 415 128 153 158 156 153 Effective Duration 0.86 0.15 0.20 0.23 0.25 0.27 *** Omits SLGSs. City of Palm Desert -- Portfolio Characteristics 28 February 2006 Dollars in Thousands Aaeina Interval Market Value < 1 M $ 44,789 < 2M < 3M < 6M 2,969 < 1YR 1,972 < 2YR 20,154 < 3YR 12,849 < 4YR 12,988 < 5YR - > 5YR - Total: $ 95,721 Ratings, * Market Value AAA $ 62,627 AA $ 2,114 A $ 6,018 Unrated ** 60,185 BB- 9,932 Total: $ 140,876 Sector Market Value MMFs $ 19,771 LAIF 27,400 RDA Loan 32,785 MTNs 21,964 Agencies 38,956 CP Total: $ 140,876 Month Citv Yield LAIF Yield Variance Mar05 2.79 2.54 0.25 Apr 2.94 2.72 0.21 May 3.06 2.86 0.21 Jun 3.29 2.97 0.32 Jul 3.37 3.08 0.29 Aug 3.43 3.18 0.25 Sep 3.56 3.32 0.24 Oct 3.67 3.46 0.21 Nov 3.81 3.64 0.17 Dec 3.95 3.81 0.14 Jan06 4.06 3.96 0.10 Feb 4.31 4.04 0.27 * Standard and Poors ** LAIF, and City Loan to RDA General Fund Ageing 100 80 60 too a 40 20 47 0 0 0 <1M <2M <3M 21 3 2 < 6M < 1YR < 2YR 13 n < 3YR f Credit Quality' Asset Allocation Performance 4.4 3.9 a 3.4 >- 2.9 2.4 AAA Unrated ** 43% LAIF 19% MMFs 14% RDA Loan 23% AA 2% A 4% MTNs 16% Agencies 28% Mar05 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecJan06 Feb II LAIF Yield ® City Yield Page 2 of 8 I Par Value Medium -Term Notes $ 3,000,000 $ 3,000,000 $ 2,500,000 $ 4,612,000 $ 2,000,000 $ 2,000,000 $ 3,000,000 $ 2,000,000 1 $ 22,112,000 City of Palm Desert Portolio Holdings 28 February 2006 Issuer I Coupon' Maturity BANK ONE FORD MOTOR CREDIT CORP FORD MOTOR CREDIT CORP FORD MOTOR CREDIT CORP GENERAL ELECTRIC GENERAL ELECTRIC GOLDMAN SACHS WAL-MART Subtotal Federal Agencies $ 2,060,000 $ 2,060,000 Federal Agencies $ 3,000,000 . $ 1,500,000 $ 3,000,000 $ 3,000,000 $ 3,000,000 $ 1,980,000 $ 3,000,000 $ 2,049,000 $ 2,035,000 $ 2,033,000 $ 2,000,000 $ 2,000,000 $ 2,786,000 $ 2,000,000 33,383,000 I Market Cost I YTM I Price I Value Ratings Moody's' S&P 4.13 9/1/07 $ 3,020,584 3.64 98.56 $ 2,956,746 Aa3 A+ 7.20 6/15/07 $ 3,049,274 5.75 98.21 $ 2,946,381 Ba2 BB- 7.20 6/15/07 $ 2,541,062 5.75 98.21 $ 2,455,318 Ba2 BB- 7.20 6/15/07 $ 4,727,942 5.10 98.21 $ 4,529,570 Ba2 BB- 3.13 11/9/06 $ 1,989,400 3.92 98.66 $ 1,973,264 Aaa AAA 3.60 10/15/08 $ 1,932,451 4.99 96.33 $ 1,926,564 Aaa AAA 7.20 3/1/07 $ 3,106,055 3.50 102.05 $ 3,061,377 Aa3 A+ 6.88 8/10/09 $ . 2,121,599 4.93 105.72 $ 2,114,486 Aa2 AA $ 22,488,366 4.72 $ 21,963,706 -- Discount FED HOME LOAN BANK 0.00 Subtotal -- Coupon FED HOME LOAN BANK FED HOME LOAN BANK FED NATIONAL MTG ASSOC FED NATIONAL MTG ASSOC FED HOME LOAN BANK FED HOME LOAN BANK FED HOME LOAN BANK FED HOME LOAN BANK FED HOME LOAN MTG CORP FED HOME LOAN MTG CORP FED HOME LOAN MTG CORP FED HOME LOAN MTG CORP FED NATIONAL MTG ASSOC FED NATIONAL MTG ASSOC Subtotal Federal Agencies -- Callable $ 2,000,000 FED HOME LOAN MTG CORP $ 2,000,000 FED HOME LOAN BANK $ 4,000,000 Subtotal Local Government Investment Pool $ 27,400,000 L.A.I.F. I $ 27,400,000 Subtotal 3/20/06 $ 2,000,681 3.59 99.77 $ 2,055,262 Aaa AAA $ 2,000,681 3.59 $ 2,055,262 3.70 8/15/07 $ 2,996,154 3.79 98.28 $ 2,948,438 Aaa AAA 2.10 10/13/06 $ 1,484,867 3.79 98.31 $ 1,474,688 Aaa AAA 3.00 8/15/07 $ 2,974,348 3.63 97.34 $ 2,920,313 Aaa AAA 2.75 8/11/06 $ 2,986,209 3.81 99.06 $ 2,971,875 Aaa AAA 4.38 9/11/09 $ 2,952,294 5.59 98.00 $ 2,940,000 Aaa AAA 4.75 12/12/08 $ 1,973,110 4.87 99.53 $ 1,970,719 Aaa AAA 4.63 9/12/08 $ 2,982,794 5.40 99.31 $ 2,979,375 Aaa AAA 4.00 12/15/09 $ 1,988,231 4.87 96.94 $ 1,986,249 Aaa AAA 2.50 12/4/06 $ 2,015,055 3.84 98.22 $ 1,998,752 Aaa AAA 4.25 7/15/09 $ 1,994,293 4.87 97.88 $ 1,989,799 Aaa AAA 4.13 11/18/09 $ 1,949,214 4.88 97.26 $ 1,945,104 Aaa AAA 4.90 11/3/08 $ 1,992,065 5.06 99.31 $ 1,986,154 Aaa AAA 7.13 3/15/07 $ 2,885,254 3.55 102.16 $ 2,846,073 Aaa AAA 4.63 10/28/09 $ 1,982,977 4.88 98.97 $ 1,979,375 Aaa AAA $ 33,156,865 4.46 $ 32,936,912 5.05 8/22/08 $ 1,999,381 5.06 99.81 $ 1,996,174 Aaa AAA 4.20 7/18/08 $ 1,969,869 4.88 98.38 $ 1,967,500 Aaa AAA $ 3,969,250 4.97 $ 3,963,674 0.00 3/1/06 $ 27,400,000 4.04 100.00 $ 27,400,000 U U $ 27,400,000 4.04 $ 27,400,000 I I I "U" = Unrated Page 3 of 8 I Par Value 1 Issuer Local Government Investment Pool $ 10,499,265 C.A.M.P. $ 10,499,265 Subtotal Money Market Fund $ 9,271,561 $ 9,271,561 City Loan to RDA $ 32,785,480 $ 32,785,480 $ 141,511,306 - Cash $ 3,313,937 $ 1,191,841 $ 626,263 $ 303,778 I $ 5,435,821 WELLS FARGO GOVT Subtotal CITY OF PALM DESERT Subtotal CITY MAIN CHKG DESERT WILLOW CHKG MONTEREY 170 CHKG RECREATIONAL FAC CHKG Subtotal Total Investments and Cash $ 146,947,127 Corporate Issuers City of Palm Desert Portolio Holdings 28 February 2006 (Coupon' Maturity' Market Cost I YTM I Price I Value Ratings Moody's' S&P 0.00 3/1/06 $ 10,499,265 4.42 100.00 $ 10,499,265 U AAA $ 10,499,265 4.42 $ 10,499,265 0.00 3/1/06 $ 9,271,561 3.98 100.00 $ 9,271,561 $ 9,271,561 3.98 $ 9,271,561 0.00 3/1/36 .$ 32,785,480 4.04 100.00 $ 32,785,480 $ 32,785,480 4.04 $ 32,785,480 $ 141,571,468 4.31 $ 140,875,860 Aaa AAA 0.00 3/1/06 $ 3,313,937 0.00 100.00 $ 3,313,937 N/A N/A 0.00 3/1/06 $ 1,191,841 0.00 100.00 $ 1,191,841 N/A N/A 0.00 3/1/06 $ 626,263 0.00 100.00 $ 626,263 N/A N/A 0.00 3/1/06 $ 303,778 0.00 100.00 $ 303,778 N/A N/A $ 5,435,821 $ 5,435,821 FORD MOTOR CREDIT CORPORATION GENERAL ELECTRIC CAPITAL CORPORATION GOLDMAN SACHS BANK ONE $ 147,007,289 % of Portfolio I (Market Value) 6.79% 2.67% 2.09% 1.45% $ 146,311,680 "U" = Unrated Page 4 of 8 Dollars in Thousands Aaeina Interval < 1M < 2M < 3M < 6M < 1YR < 2YR < 3YR < 4YR < 5YR > 5YR Total: Palm Desert Redevelopment Agency -- Portfolio Characteristics 28 February 2006 Market Value $ 55,236 Portfolio Ageing w/o SLGSs I 100 90 80 8,875 7 70 11,771 ,o 60 7, 50 47 21,683 18,748 a 30 20 10 0 0 0 0 $ 116,313 Quality * Market Value AAA $ 86,086 AA 1,950 A 2,035 Unrated ** 58,746 BB- 2,963 Total: $ 151,780 Sector Market Value LAIF $ 56,745 MMFs 25,250 Agencies 57,041 MTNs 12,744 CP Treasuries Total: $ 151,780 Month RDA Yield LAIF Yield Mar05 2.58 2.54 Apr 2.80 2.72 May 2.93 2.86 Jun 3.09 2.97 Jul 3.21 3.08 Aug 3.32 3.18 Sep 3.42 3.32 Oct 3.54 3.46 Nov 3.68 3.64 Dec 3.82 3.81 Jan06 3.99 3.96 Feb 4.26 4.04 Credit Quality! 2% 19 8 10 Mi n 16 < 1M < 2M < 3M < 6M < 1YR < 2YR < 3YR < 4YR AA 1% A 1% Unrated ** 39% Asset Allocation! Agencies 38% Variance Performance! 0.04 0.08 4.4 0.07 0.13 3.9 0.13 - 3.4 0.14 0,10 2.9 0.08 0.04 2.4 0.01 0.03 0.22 Mar05 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan06 Feb • LAIF Yield el RDA Yield * Standard and Poors ** LAIF Page 5 of 8 Palm Desert Redevelopment Agency Portfolio Holdings 28 February 2006 Market Ratings I Par Value I Issuer 'Coupon' Maturity I Cost I YTM I Price I Value I Moody's' S&P Medium -Term Notes $ 3,000,000 FORD MOTOR CREDIT CORP 6.50 1/25/07 $ 3,041,859 4.85 98.78 $ 2,963,430 Ba2 BB- $ 2,896,000 GENERAL ELECTRIC 6.38 3/15/06 $ 2,899,133 3.52 100.05 $ 2,897,529 Aaa AAA $ 2,896,000 GENERAL ELECTRIC 6.38 3/15/06 $ 2,899,133 3.52 100.05 $ 2,897,529 Aaa AAA $ 2,000,000 FIRST UNION NAT BANK 5.80 12/1/08 $ 2,040,415 5.00 101.77 $ 2,035,472 Aa3 A+ $ 2,000,000 WELLS FARGO BANK 4.00 8/15/08 $ 1,956,142 4.96 97.49 $ 1,949,886 Aa1 AA- 1 $ 12,792,000 Subtotal $ 12,836,682 4.29 $ 12,743,846 1 Federal Agency -- Coupon $ 3,000,000 FED FARM CREDIT BANK 2.63 9/17/07 $ 2,964,163 3.43 96.69 $ 2,900,625 Aaa AAA $ 2,000,000 FED FARM CREDIT BANK 6.45 10/7/09 $ 2,102,187 4.88 104.87 $ 2,097,450 Aaa AAA $ 2,000,000 FED FARM CREDIT BANK 3.63 10/24/08 $ 1,938,057 4.89 96.81 $ 1,936,250 Aaa AAA $ 2,000,000 FED FARM CREDIT BANK 4.75 8/3/09 $ 1,992,500 4.87 99.53 $ 1,990,625 Aaa AAA $ 3,000,000 FED HOME LOAN BANK 3.38 9/14/07 $ 2,995,764 3.82 97.78 $ 2,933,438 Aaa AAA $ 3,005,000 FED HOME LOAN BANK 2.50 3/15/06 $ 3,003,945 3.42 99.91 $ 3,002,183 Aaa AAA $ 3,970,000 FED HOME LOAN BANK 4.25 9/12/08 $ 3,912,718 4.79 98.41 $ 3,906,728 Aaa AAA $ 3,970,000 FED HOME LOAN BANK 4.25 9/12/08 $ 3,912,718 4.79 98.41 $ 3,906,728 Aaa AAA - $ 4,500,000 FED HOME LOAN BANK 4.38 9/11/09 $ 4,428,441 5.59 98.00 $ 4,410,000 Aaa AAA $ 2,000,000 FED HOME LOAN BANK 3.50 11/3/09 $ 1,908,256 4.88 95.09 $ 1,901,875 Aaa AAA $ 4,000,000 FED HOME LOAN BANK 4.63 9/12/08 $ 3,977,059 4.84 99.41 $ 3,972,500 Aaa AAA $ 2,005,000 FED HOME LOAN BANK 3.88 7/24/09 $ 1,942,123 4.89 96.59 $ 1,936,705 Aaa AAA $ 3,000,000 FED HOME LOAN MTG CORP 4.88 3/15/07 $ 3,044,508 3.38 99.91 $ 2,997,188 Aaa AAA $ 2,974,000 FED HOME LOAN MTG CORP 3.63 9/15/06 $ 2,974,474 3.60 99.34 $ 2,954,483 Aaa AAA $ 2,974,000 FED HOME LOAN MTG CORP 3.63 9/15/06 $ 2,974,561 3.60 99.34 $ 2,954,483 Aaa AAA $ 2,049,000 FED HOME LOAN MTG CORP 4.00 12/15/09 $ 1,988,021 4.87 96.94 $ 1,986,249 Aaa AAA $ 2,000,000 FED HOME LOAN MTG CORP 5.00 7/23/08 $ 1,996,956 5.07 99.77 $ 1,995,362 Aaa AAA $ 2,973,000 FED NATIONAL MTG ASSOC 3.63 3/15/07 $ 2,975,162 3.95 98.66 $ 2,933,050 Aaa AAA $ 4,155,000 FED NATIONAL MTG ASSOC 6.63 9/15/09 $ 4,385,925 4.89 105.41 $ 4,379,630 Aaa AAA $ 2,000,000 FED NATIONAL MTG ASSOC 3.88 11/17/08 $ 1,949,979 4.87 97.28 $ 1,945,625 Aaa AAA 1 $ 57,575,000 Subtotal $ 57,367,516 4.46 $ 57,041,176 I Local Government Investment Pools $ 35,600,000 L.A.I.F. 0.00 3/1/06 $ 35,600,000 4.04 100.00 $ 35,600,000 U U $ 5,902,251 L.A.I.F. (HOUSING) 0.00 3/1/06 $ 5,902,251 4.04 100.00 $ 5,902,251 U U $ 15,083,034 L.A.I.F. BOND PROCEEDS 0.00 3/1/06 $ 15,083,034 4.04 100.00 $ 15,083,034 U U $ 160,090 L.A.I.F. BOND PROCEEDS 0.00 3/1/06 $ 160,090 4.04 100.00 $ 160,090 U U 1 $ 56,745,375 Subtotal $ 56,745,375 4.04 $ 56,745,375 I Local Government Investment Pool $ 9,900,359 C.A.M.P. 0.00 3/1/06 $ 9,900,359 4.42 100.00 $ 9,900,359 1 $ 9,900,359 Subtotal $ 9,900,359 4.42 $ 9,900,359 U AAA I "U" = Unrated Page 6 of 8 Palm Desert Redevelopment Agency Portfolio Holdings 28 February 2006 Market I Ratings f Par Value I Issuer 'Coupon! Maturity I Cost I YTM I Price I Value I Moody'sl S&P Money Market Fund $ 15,349,536 WELLS FARGO GOVT 0.00 3/1/06 $ 15,349,536 4.43 100.00 $ 15,349,536 Aaa AAA 1 $ 15,349,536 Subtotal $ 15,349,536 4.43 $ 15,349,536 Total Investments $ 152,362,269 $ 152,199,467 4.26 $ 151,780,292 Cash $ 1,124,480 HOUSING AUTH CHKG 0.00 3/1/06 $ 1,124,480 0.00 100.00 $ 1,124,480 N/A N/A $ 328,400 HOUSING AUTH TRUST 0.00 3/1/06 $ 328,400 0.00 100.00 $ 328,400 N/A N/A 1 $ 1,452,880 Subtotal $ 1,452,880 $ 1,452,880 Total Investments and Cash $ 153,815,150 Corporate Issuers GENERAL ELECTRIC CAPITAL CORPORATION FORD MOTOR CREDIT CORPORATION FIRST UNION NAT BANK WELLS FARGO BANK $ 153,652,348 $ 153,233,172 % of Portfolio I (Market Value) 3.78% 1.93% 1.33% 1.27% 1 1 "U" = Unrated Page 7 of 8 STATEMENT OF COMPLIANCE The investment portfolios of the City of Palm Desert ("City") and the Palm Desert Redevelopment Agency ("RDA") are governed by federal, state, and local law. The City Treasurer's "Statement of Investment Policy" is more restrictive than the California Government Code. The Palm Desert investment Committee and the Palm Desert City Council review the Statement of Investment Policy annually. For the month ended 28 February 2006, the City and the RDA investment portfolios were in compliance with all applicable federal, state, and local laws and regulations. The City Treasury continued to pursue conservative and prudent investment strategies, based upon the stated objectives of safety, liquidity, and yield (in order of priority). Barring unforeseen events, the City Treasury should have sufficient cash to finance the operations of the City of Palm Desert and the Palm Desert Redevelopment Agency over the next six months. In addition, portions of either the City or the RDA portfolio could be liquidated in order to meet any significant, unexpected cash requirements. Bloomberg L.P. and Interactive Data Corporation provided the data and the analytical tools that were used to calculate the market value of all securities in the City and the RDA investment portfolios. State and Local Government Series securities are held in escrow accounts and are therefore not included in this report as assets. All balances are bank balances. Respectfully submitted on 28 March 2006, pau 5.. Qo CCA1.7 City Treasurer CA Govt Code 53601(a .53(1 53601(c) 53601(d) 53601(1) 53601(m) f SUMMARY OF AUTHORIZED INVESTMENTS California Government Code City Investment Policy Maximum Maximum Quality Maximum Maximum Quality % of City % of RDA Investment Category Maturity Limit S&P/Mdys Maturity Limit S&P/Mdys Portfolio Portfolio Palm Desert Bonds t ri S CA State Debt CA Local Agency Debt Trust Indenture Debt Secured Bank Deposits 5 Years No Limit Years 5 Years 5 Years IvOP.1 No Limit No Limit vestment �aoas.:n { :,.,v Days:; 20gfo ar AdvaA 53601(n) Mortgage -Backed 5 Years 20% A (Issuer) & Securities AA (Security 1 ;. Lath. No, Limit ,.1.._.. .. �z � .. : _ ..., .. ._ -I Np;Limit I. ":, ���°lr. .'�3T<3 a (1) The City loan to RDA, which is not a bond, has been approved by the Palm Desert City Council � 76.8% I 100.0% (2) Maximum limit for mutual funds and local government investment pools, excluding bond proceeds. Not Authorized (1) Not Authorized Not Authorized AAA Not Authorized Not Authorized u1 Not Authorized * Certified California Municipal Treasurer Page 8 of 8