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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2018-10-11 Study Session - Affordable HousingOVl lily 0r M 0-1SIR'T 73-5i0 FRED WARING DRIVE PALM DESERT, CALIFORNIA g2260-2578 TEL: 760 346—o6ii info@cityofpalmdesert.org NOTICE OF STUDY SESSION OF THE PALM DESERT CITY COUNCIL NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that the Palm Desert City Council will convene for a Study Session Thursday, October 11, 2018, at 2:00 p.m. in the Administrative Conference Room of the Palm Desert Civic Center. 73510 Fred Warina Drive. Palm Desert. California 92260. Said Study Session will be for the purpose of discussing development that includes Affordable Housing in the City. RA6 ELLE D. KLASSE 1CITY CLER CITY OF PALM DESERT, CALIFORNIA October 4, 2018 - NO ACTION WILL BE TAKEN AT THE STUDY SESSION. PURPOSE OF THE STUDY SESSION IS INFORMATION ONLY. L�J rmrzooxveiwonveo CITY OF PALM DESERT DEPARTMENT OF COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT INTEROFFICE MEMORANDUM To: Honorable Mayor and Members of the City Council From: Ryan Stendell, Director of Community Development Date: October 11, 2018 Subject: Background Information: Affordable Housing Study Session 10/11/2018 In preparation for the study session of October 11, 2018, Housing Division staff in consultation with legal counsel (Richards, Watson and Gershon) have prepared the following summary related to a past Settlement Agreement that is often referred to as the "Stipulation." In addition to the below summary, staff has also provided two previously produced nexus studies which attempted to link housing affordability to the creation of market rate housing units. The attached studies were completed in 2015, and could be useful for the upcoming study session. In 1987, following the adoption of the Redevelopment Plan for Project Area No. 2, the Western Center on Law and Poverty and California Rural Legal Assistance filed a lawsuit against the Palm Desert Redevelopment Agency in an effort to stop the formation of the Project Area. The lawsuit was settled in May of 1991, and the settlement was incorporated into a Stipulation for Entry of Judgment. In June of 1997 and again in September of 2002, the Court entered amendments to the Stipulation. Under the terms of the Stipulation, as amended, the Agency generally agreed to use its 20 percent set aside funds, and other tax increment revenues if necessary, to develop, rehabilitate, or otherwise financially assist a certain number of affordable housing units and to meet certain affordable housing needs of the City as determined in the Regional Housing Needs Assessment prepared periodically by the Southern California Association of Governments. Following the dissolution of the Agency, the State Department of Finance ("DOF") declined to treat the Stipulation as an enforceable obligation on the Regional Obligation Payment Schedule ("ROPS"). As the Western Center expected us to do so, the Successor Agency filed a lawsuit against the DOF and the Riverside County Auditor -Controller, seeking declaratory relief that the Stipulation constitutes an enforceable obligation. Several other lawsuits had also been filed which have similar facts regarding housing -related judgments as enforceable obligations and which the Western Center believed would result in victories for housing advocates. The Western Center believed the outcome of those cases would provide support for a court determination that the Stipulation is an enforceable October 11, 2018 - Mei..andum Affordable Housing Page 2 of 2 obligation. By June of 2015, however, no cases had come down from the Court of Appeal with the results the Western Center anticipated. Because we had reached a point in our lawsuit against the DOF where the Successor Agency would begin to incur significant expenses, we dismissed our lawsuit against the DOF without prejudice. The Western Center was advised of this. There is still one case pending in the Court of Appeal, which the Western Center previously advised would be relevant if decided favorably to the Western Center's position. That case, entitled Shayne v. DOF is still pending. It is fully briefed as of January 23, 2017, and is still awaiting scheduling of oral argument. We expect that will occur in the next six to eight months, with a decision following 90 days after oral argument. RYAN STENDELL DIRECTOR OF COMMUNITY \\srv-NI2k3\groups\Plennin8\Monice OReilly�WorcNStendell1\2018Wtto0eble Housing Study Session docx Report Nexus -Based Affordable Housing ThrEranomirsgfl.nral Uar Fee Analysis for For -Sale Housing Prepared for: City of Palm Desert Prepared by: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. February 6, 2015 Economic& Planning Systems, Inc. One Kaiser Plaza, Suite 1410 Oakland, CA 94612 510 841 9190 tel 510 240 2080 fax EPS # 141134 Oakland Sacramento Denver Los Angeles www.epsys.rom Table of Contents EXECUTIVESUMMARY.................................................................................................... 1 I. AFFORDABILITY GAP ANALYSIS.................................................................................. 7 ProductType............................................................................................................7 Development Cost Assumptions..................................................................................9 RevenueAssumptions...............................................................................................9 Affordability Gap Results.......................................................................................... 10 2. DEMAND -BASED NEXUS FEE CALCULATION................................................................. 11 Market -Rate Household Income Levels...................................................................... 11 Household Expenditures and Job Creation by Income Level .......................................... 11 Demand for Public -Sector Workers............................................................................ 15 Combined Demand for Income -Qualified Workers....................................................... 16 FeeCalculation.......................................................................................................16 APPENDIX A: Household Expenditures and Employment Generation APPENDIX B: Income Levels for Worker Households List of Figures and Tables Figure 1 Illustration of Nexus -Based Housing Fee Methodology............................................2 Table 1 Summary of Housing Impact Fees or Unit Equivalents per Market -Rate Unit.............6 Table 2 Financing Gap Analysis -- Rental Product Type......................................................8 Table 3 Income Required to Purchase Homes at Various Prices........................................12 Table 4 HUD Income Limits......................................................................................... 17 Table 5 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations -- $200,000 Unit ............................................ 18 Table 6 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations $400,000 Unit ............................................ 19 Table 7 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations -- $600,000 Unit ............................................ 20 Table 8 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations -- $800,000 Unit ............................................ 21 Table 9 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations $1,000,000 Unit.........................................22 Table 10 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations $1,200,000 Unit.........................................23 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. (EPS) was retained by the City of Palm Desert (City) to conduct a nexus study analyzing the impact that development of market -rate for -sale housing has on the demand for below -market -rate housing and, based on the results, to determine the defensible nexus -based fee that could be charged to market -rate development. The technical approach used herein quantifies the impacts that the introduction of market -rate homes have on the local economy and the demand for additional affordable housing. As new households are added to the community, local employment also will grow to provide the goods and services required by the new households. To the extent that these new jobs do not pay adequate wages for the employees to afford market -rate housing in the community, the new households' spending is creating a need for affordable housing. A nexus -based affordable housing fee is therefore based on the impact of the new market -rate homes on the demand for affordable housing. The fee calculated in this study represents the maximum fee that may be charged to new market -rate housing units to mitigate their impacts on the affordable housing supply. Such fees are then used by the City to subsidize the production of new affordable units for lower -income households not accommodated by market -rate projects. Calculating the impact of market -rate development in the City on affordable housing needs, and the fees needed to mitigate those impacts, involves three main analytical steps: Step #1. Estimate the typical subsidy required to construct units affordable at various income levels (the "affordability gap"). The analysis focuses on very -low, low-, and median - income households. Step #2. Determine the market -rate households' demand for goods and services, the jobs created by that demand, and the affordable housing needs of workers in those jobs. • Step #3. Combine the affordability gap with the affordable housing demand projections to compute the maximum supportable nexus -based affordable housing fees per market -rate unit. These technical steps are illustrated in Figure 1 and detailed in the body of this Report and the attached Technical Appendices. The findings regarding each of these steps are presented below. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. i Im Figure t Illustration of Nexus -Based Housing Fee Methodology <negative Subsidy Required Step #1Affordability Gap Analysis AffordableDevelo ment(Subsidy Required to Construct Unit Value minus P equals Affordability affordable Units) by Income Costs Gap No Subsidy Required Required Total Workers to Step #2 Market Rate Household Household Provide Goods and Total Demand for Affordable Units for Affordable Housing Demand Home Price Income by Category Expenditures Services (Generated by Market Rate Housing) Level Expenditure Category Afforegory Workers Step #3 Affordabilit Demand for Maximum Compute Impact Fee y multiplied Affordable Units for equals Supportable Nexus - Gap by Workers Based Housing Fee per Market Rate Unit (Subsidy Required) (permarket rate unit) (per market rate unit) Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 2/52015 P.114100asV 41134Pa lmDesertWode4141134rolsalemodeib20515.xlsx Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for For -Sale Housing 02106115 1. The costs to construct affordable housing units affordable to many households exceed those units'values based on the rents or prices that the households can afford to pay. The subsidy required to construct affordable housing units in Palm Desert ranges from roughly $58,000 for a Median Income household to $164,000 for a Very Low Income (VLI) household. Moderate Income households do not appear to require subsidies, as affordable prices for such households appear able to support the costs of construction. An "affordability gap analysis" evaluates whether or not the costs to construct affordable units exceed the values of units that are affordable to lower- and moderate -income households. For each affordable housing income level (Very Low Income [VLI], Low Income [LI], Median Income, and Moderate Income) this analysis estimates the subsidy required to construct affordable housing units. The affordability gap analysis assumes that the average affordable unit for all income levels will be a 2-bedroom unit in a multifamily development. The estimated costs to construct the prototypical affordable unit are based on published data sources (RS Means Cost Estimator) indexed to Coachella Valley labor and materials costs, and have been vetted with developers active in Coachella Valley. The costs of land acquisition are included in these development cost calculations, and have been based on recent appraisals for residential land in Palm Desert. For units that are eligible for non-competitive Low Income Housing Tax Credits (4 percent tax credits), the value of those tax credits is deducted from the development costs. A household's ability to pay is estimated based on standard percentages of income available for housing costs at each household income level. Income available for housing costs is then converted into a month ly'affordable rent and a capitalized unit value or an affordable mortgage payment and supportable home price. This unit value is then compared to the costs of development to determine the subsidy, if any, required to make the unit affordable to each income level. 2. The demand for affordable housing generated by the expenditures of new households in Palm Desert increases along with the market -rate home price (and related buyer income). For example, a home that sells for $200,000 is estimated to create demand for 0.1 affordable housing units requiring development subsidy, while a unit that sells for $1.0 million creates demand for 0.356 affordable units. A justified nexus fee is based on the total demand for affordable housing units generated by construction of market -rate units. The link (or nexus) between market -rate housing and increased demand for affordable housing is that residents of market -rate units demand goods and services that rely on many wage earners (for example, retail sales clerks) who typically cannot afford market -rate housing and thus require affordable housing. Because more expensive housing units require buyers to have higher incomes, and higher income households create more jobs through their spending, the nexus impacts and thus the justified fees for for -sale units vary according to the price range of the market -rate units. Nexus impacts and the justified fees for market -rate homes, therefore, vary based on home price. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 31 . Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for For -Sale Housing 02/06/15 This analysis evaluates the demand for affordable housing generated by a range of home prices. For each unit price, the demand -based nexus fee calculation involves the following steps: A. Market -Rate Household Income Levels. The required income levels of households occupying new market -rate housing are derived based on the home price, assuming standard housing cost expenses as a proportion of overall household income. For example, a typical household buying a recently constructed market -rate unit for around $400,000 would have an annual income of roughly $93,000, if they spent 30 percent of their income on housing costs (mortgage, taxes, insurance, and HOA expenses). B. Household.Expenditures. Based on the household income computed in Step A, Consumer Expenditure Survey data was used to evaluate the spending patterns of the household. This analysis provides an estimate of how much the household spends on specific categories of expenditures, such as "Food at Home." As the households' income increases along with the price of the market -rate units, the total spending on goods and services also increases. The Consumer Expenditure Survey also indicates that these relationships are not linear (e.g., a household with twice the income does not necessarily spend twice as much on food). C. 3ob Creation and Worker Households. Having estimated the households' spending on various items, that spending is then converted into an estimation of jobs created. For each expenditure category, data regarding average worker wages and the ratio between gross business receipts and wages were used to translate these household expenditures into the total number of private -sector workers. For selected public -sector jobs that typically grow in proportion to the local population size (e.g., teachers), the demand for new workers was estimated by relating current levels of employment in such categories to the current population and applying this ratio to future development. Because each new worker does not represent an independent household (Palm Desert has an average of 1.52 workers per working household), the total number of new households created is somewhat less than the number of new jobs created. EPS has further adjusted the household formation rates to reflect the expectation that a certain proportion of workers will not form their own households, particularly those of younger ages.' D. Worker Households by Income Category. Each worker household generated is assigned to an income category —Very Low Income (VLI), Low Income (LI), Median, Moderate, and Above Moderate —based on its estimated gross wages. This provides the total number of households generated at each income level by construction of market - rate units at various price points. The results indicate that residents of lower -priced units generate fewer worker households requiring affordable housing than do residents of higher -priced units. I BLS data indicates that 12.5 percent of retail/restaurant workers are age 16-19, but an average of only 1.9 percent of workers In other industries. EPS has assumed that such young workers do not form their own households. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for For -Sale Housing 02/06/15 These steps of the nexus -based fee calculation provide the total number of income -qualified workers required to meet the needs for goods and services generated by market -rate housing. The number of workers servicing market -rate housing (at each unit size) is then converted to total income qualified households requiring affordable housing subsidy, and each such household is assumed to require one housing unit. 3. This analysis calculates the fees that could be charged to fully mitigate the impact that new market -rate housing has on Palm Desert's affordable housing demand at various representative unit sizes. These fees could range from roughly $13,400 for units sold at $200,000 to $58,400 for units sold at $1.2 million. The nexus fee is calculated by applying the number of affordable units needed by income qualified households to the affordability gap for each housing income category. This calculation is made for several different market -rate home prices. Table 1 summarizes the maximum nexus -based fees calculated for representative home prices. The City may also consider whether to allow developers to provide affordable units within their projects, rather than paying the nexus -based fee. Table 1 illustrates the proportions of affordable units that correspond to the fee calculation and demands created by the market -rate units. For instance, a project offering new homes in the $400,000 range would effectively mitigate the demand being created by the market -rate units if it provided 0.17 affordable units (very -low, low, and median income) for each market -rate unit. Please note that these maximum fees are based on the nexus relationship of affordable housing demand created by new market - rate units; EPS recommends that the City consider the feasibility impact of imposing fees while setting any fee on new housing. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 5 ..»,.,ma U Table 1 Summary of Housing Impact Fees or Unit Equivalents per Market -Rate Unit Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Market -Rate Maximum Percent Affordable Units Generated/100 Market -Rate Units Unit Price Impact Fee of Price Total Low (50%) Low (60%) Low (80%) Mad (100%) $200,000 $13,406 6.7% 10.0 4.8 1.2 2.7 1.3 $400,000 $22,950 5.7% 17.0 8.3 2.0 4.6 2.1 $600,000 $33,182 5.5% 24.4 12.3 2.5 6.8 2.8 $800,000 $39,551 4.9% 28.8 15.0 2.7 8.2 2.9 $1,000,000 $48,945 4.9% 35.6 18.6 3.3 10.2 3.6 $1,200,000 $58,390 4.9% 42.5 22.2 3.9 12.2 4.3 Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 2/&2015 vvrroanr�rnm.u,ue.memnr�nwm..emoarorwre.m 1. AFFORDABILITY GAP ANALYSIS For any nexus -based affordable housing fee calculation, it is necessary to estimate the subsidy required to construct affordable housing units. Table 2 shows the subsidy needed to produce multifamily housing that is affordable to very low-, low-, median- and moderate -income households. Product Type This analysis assumes that new lower -income worker households would be housed in multifamily developments in Palm Desert. Developable residential land in Palm Desert is assumed to be approximately $200,000 per acre, based on an appraisal provided to the City by Lidgard and Associates. EPS has assumed that these projects will have an average density of 20 units per acre, and be built in wood -frame buildings of two to three stories with surface parking. In order to determine the average household size of future affordable housing units, EPS used two estimates from the Census Bureau. The American Community Survey indicates that the average household size in Palm Desert is 2.05 people while the average family size is 2.75 people. The household size figure is significantly skewed by the high population of retirement - age people in Palm Desert, where 46.1 percent of all households have one or more members over age 65 (vs. only 24.9 percent statewide). The average family size is considered more representative of worker households in Palm Desert, so the average household size for future workers is assumed to round up to three people and EPS uses this assumption to determine the applicable income limits for the new units. California State law (California Health and Safety Code Section 50052.5) assumes that a 2- bedroom unit is occupied by a 3-person household, and this assumption is used in this analysis. An affordable 2-bedroom unit in Palm Desert is assumed to have a gross size of about 1,200 square feet (accounting for shared lobbies, hallways, etc.) and a net size of 1,000 square feet — both somewhat smaller than recently constructed market rate units, but similar to recent affordable housing developments. This analysis assumes that all new affordable housing would be rental units, rather than for -sale units. This assumption reflects the fact that many households at lower incomes will not have adequate wealth reserves for down payments on homeownership units, and may have further difficulty absorbing the ongoing costs of homeownership (taxes, repairs, etc.) that they can effectively avoid by renting their homes rather than buying. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 7 Table 2 Financing Gap Analysis - Rental Product Type Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS 0141134 2 Stories Multifamily With Surface Parking Very Low Low Low Median Moderate Income Income Income Income Income Item (SD%AMI) (60%AMI) (80%AMI) (100%AMI) (120%AMI) Development Program Assumptions DensilyfAcre 20 20 20 20 20 Average Gross Unit She 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1.200 Average Net Unit Size 1.000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1.000 Average Number of Bedrooms 2 2 2 2 2 Average Number of Persons per Household 3 3 3 3 3 Parking SpacesNnil 2.0 2.0 2.0 . 2.0 2.0 Cost Assumptions [1] Land/Acre 12] $200,000 $200,000 $200,000 $200,000 $200,000 Land(Unil $10,000 $10,000 $10.000 $10.000 $10,000 Direct Construction Costs/Gross SF[31 $150 $150 $115 $115 $115 Direct Construction Costs/Unit $180,000 $180.000 $138,000 $13B,DDO $138.000 Parking Construction CesWSpace $2,500 $2.500 $2,500 $2,500 $2,500 Parking Construction CostaNnit $5.000 $5,000 $5.000 $5,000 $5,000 Subtotal, Direct Costs/Unit $185,0DO $185,000 $143,ODO $143.000 $143,000 Indirect Costs as a % of Direct Costs [41 60% 60% 35% 35% 35% Indirect CostsfUnit $111,000 $111,000 $50,050 $50,050 $50,050 Total CosllUnii $306,000 $306,000 $203.050 $203,050 $203,050 less Value of 4%Tax Credits[5] -$118,400 -$118,400 $0 $0 $0 Net CosWnit $187,600 $187,600 $203.050 $203,050 $203,050 Maximum Supported Unit Value Household Income (61 $27,350 $32,820 $43,700 $54.700 $65,640 Income Available for Housing CostsNear[71 $8,205 $9,846 $13.110 $16.410 $19.692 less Ullity Allowance[8] 1 $2.400 $2.400 $2,400 $2.400 $2.400 Remaining Income Available for Rent $5.805 $7,446 $10,710 $14,010 $17,292 Operatng Expenses per UniWear[9] $4,500 $4.500 $6.031 $6.031 $6.031 Net OpemOnglncome $1,305 $2,946 $4,680 $7,980 $11,262 Capitalization Rate[10) 5.5% 6.5% 6.5% 5.5% 5.5% Total Supportable Unit Value $23.727 $53.564 $85.082 $145,082 $204,755 Financing Gap $163,873 $134,036 $117,968 $57,966 $0 [1) Costs for50-60%AMI units assume projects are purity non-profit builders, and require prevailing wage. For units at ll .120% of AMI, EPS has assumed lower development costs consistent with for -profit builders' cost bases, and do not assume prevailing wage. r21 The land costs represent an expected birds for developable residential land, per a December 2014 appraisal provided to the City of Palm Desert. [3] Includes costs for labor and materials. (4] Includes costs for architecture and engineering; battlement and fees; project management marketing, commissions, and general administration; financing and charges; Insurance; and contingency. Tax credit projects (at or below 60%AMI) are assumed to Include developer fee at 14%of eligible basis. 15]4%Tax Cmdibamassumedtobemmivedforun0sal60%AMlorbelaw. Value of tax credits is estimated at 40%ofefgble basis, which is at direct and indeed costs but exdudes land 16] Based on HCD 2014 income Imils for Riverside5an Bernardino -Ontario MSA [7] Assumes housing costs to be 30%of gross household income. [01 Based on Housing Authority of Riverside County Allowances for Tenant punished UtiBges and other Services assuming an apartment using natural gas for heating and cooking. [9) Opera0ng expenses include costs of tenarde'ublifies. Units forhooseholds above 60% Al are assumed to be built as fonprogt projects and thus subject to property tax [101 Capdzluation rate estimated by EPS based an recent apartment industry investment standards. Em+wruc4 Prarwrgay5ema,Irk Y31015 8 P.If110JdanIll.XPalmee+olWo4Y,lIflNAvaelemotlaVl05rSx/v Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for For -Sale Housing 02106115 Development Cost Assumptions Affordable housing development costs include land costs, direct costs (e.g. labor and materials), indirect or "soft" costs (e.g., architecture, entitlement, marketing, etc.), and developer profit. For rental projects, operating costs also must be incorporated into the analysis. Data from recent Palm Desert development and recent land transactions have been combined with EPS's information from local housing developers and published data sources to estimate development cost assumptions for a prototypical project in Palm Desert. These cost assumptions are shown on Table 2. Projects offering units affordable to households at or below 60 percent of Area Median Income (AMI) are typically eligible for "40/o" Low Income Housing Tax Credits, which yield equity equal to roughly 40 percent of the "eligible basis" of the development (all project costs excluding land acquisition). Such projects are subject to prevailing wage requirements, however, which increase their direct costs substantially. Also, the developer's fee for such projects is included as an indirect cost, and can represent up to 14 percent of the eligible basis. These added costs are more than offset by the value of the tax credit, however, so the net cost of development for such units is estimated to be slightly less than the cost of developing units for households at 80 to 120 percent of AMI. Revenue Assumptions To calculate the values of the affordable units, assumptions must be made regarding the applicable income level (moderate, median, LI, and VLI) and the percentage of income spent on housing costs. In addition, translating these assumptions into unit prices and values requires estimates of operating expenses, capital reserves, and capitalization rates. The following assumptions were used in these calculations: • Income Levels —The maximum allowable incomes used in each affordable housing income category are consistent with those set forth by the federal government (U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD]): VLI = 50 percent of Area Median Income (AMI), LI 60% = 60 percent of AMI, LI 80% = 80 percent of AMI, Median Income = 100 percent of AMI, and Moderate Income = 120 percent of AMI. • Percentage of Gross Household Income Available for Housing Costs—HCD standards on overpaying for rent indicate that households earning less than 80 percent of AMI should pay no more than 30 percent of their gross income on housing costs. For this analysis, EPS has assumed that all income qualified renter households shall spend 30 percent of their gross income on housing costs, including rent and utilities. • Other Costs Included for Rental Units —In addition to rent payments, the analysis assumes $200 per month in utility costs based on the Riverside County Housing Authority utility allowance table. This amount is subtracted from the total available housing costs (30 percent of household income) to determine the net amount available for rent payments. Operating Costs for Rental Units —The analysis assumes that apartment operators incur annual costs of $4,500 per unit for VLI and LI 60% units and about $6,000 for LI 80%, Median, and Moderate units. EPS has assumed the LI 80%, Median, and Moderate income units would be built by for -profit builders and subject to property taxes. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 9 Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for For -Sale Housing 02106115 Affordability Gap Results Table 2 shows the subsidies for construction of for -rent apartments for VLI through moderate - income households. The affordability gap ranges from $0 for moderate -income households (i.e., moderate -income households can afford home prices adequate to cover the costs of construction) to roughly $164,000 for VLI households. The affordability gap for VLI households is much higher because these households have significantly less income available for housing costs, while construction costs remain essentially the same. The affordability gaps by income level then were used to calculate the justified nexus -based fees by multiplying this required subsidy by the number of units required to house workers providing goods and services to new market -rate housing development. This methodology is discussed in more detail in the following chapter. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 10 2. DEMAND -BASED NEXUS FEE CALCULATION The maximum supportable nexus fees are based on both the affordability gap, calculated in the previous chapter, and the estimated impact that new market -rate units have on the need for affordable units, as reflected in the number of income -qualified local workers required to support the residents of market -rate units and the total subsidy required to construct housing for those workers. This approach is based on the following logic: (a) residents of market -rate housing have disposable incomes and require a variety of goods and services (including private sector goods and services and government services); (b) the provision of those goods and services will require some workers who make moderate or lower incomes and cannot afford market -rate housing; and (c) fees charged to market -rate projects can mitigate the impact of those projects on the increased need for affordable housing. Market -Rate Household Income Levels Households with larger incomes typically spend more on goods and services, therefore creating additional lower income jobs, which in turn generate a greater demand for affordable housing. To assess the impact that market -rate homes have on the need for affordable housing, EPS determined the minimum income required to purchase a newly constructed home at various prices, as shown in Table 3. These calculations are predicated on the assumption that a household will spend 30 percent of their income on housing costs (mortgage principal and interest, taxes, insurance, and homeowner association dues). As shown, required household incomes range from approximately $50,000 for a $200,000 unit to roughly $265,000 for a $1.2 million home. Household Expenditures and Sob Creation by Income Level Having established the income requirements for renting apartments of various sizes, the fee calculation then requires an analysis of the household spending patterns at those required income levels. Consistent with nexus fee calculations and impact analysis for schools, parks, roads, etc., this analysis also assumes that all households renting new market -rate units in Palm Desert are "net new" households to the City. To assume otherwise —for instance, that only those buyers or renters of new housing units relocating from outside Palm Desert should be counted in the impact analysis —would require assuming that the homes left by those households Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 11 Table 3 Income Required to Purchase Homes at Various Prices Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Annual Annual Annual Total Required Assumed Down Beginning Mortgage Taxes HOA+ Annual Household Base Payment at Mortgage Payment at 1.25% Insurance Housing Income Price 20% Principal [1] [2] Fees [3] Costs [4] $200,000 $40,000 $160,000 $10,408 $2,500 $2,184 $15,092 $50,300 $400,000 $80,000 $320,000 $20,816 $5,000 $2,184 $28,000 $93,300 $600,000 $120,000 $480,000 $31,225 $7,500 $2,184 $40,909 $136,400 $800,000 $160,000 $640,000 $41,633 $10,000 $2,184 $53,817 $179,400 $1,000,000 $200,000 $800,000 $52,041 $12,500 $2,184 $66,725 $222,400 $1,200,000 $240,000 $960,000 $62,449 $15,000 $2,184 $79,633 $265,400 [1] Assumes 5.0% interest for 30 years, reflecting higher than current rates but well below historical averages. [2] Tax rate allows for some special assessments above 1.00% basic tax rate. N [3] A Redfin.com survey of Palm Desert homes for sale on January 19, 2015 indicates an average HOA fee of $182/month for units listed at $550,000 or less. Some of these projects may include insurance costs in the HOA fees, while others may not. To be conservative, EPS has assumed that the average HOA fee does include insurance. [4] Assumes households spend 30% of total household income on total annual housing costs. Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 22542015 - P:114100051141134PalmDeserflMode11141134foma/emode1020515.x/sx Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for For -Sale Housing 02106115 relocating within Palm Desert would be demolished or left vacant in perpetuity. This would only be the case were the City experiencing a significant loss of population and housing inventory, as has occurred, for instance, in Detroit. Palm Desert has not experienced such declines. The Consumer Expenditure Survey from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics provides data for households at a variety of income levels, detailing the amounts that typical households spend on things like "Food at Home," "Apparel and Services," and "Vehicle Maintenance and Repairs." Interestingly, household expenditures by category are not uniformly proportional to household income levels. For example, households earning around $50,000 (adequate to purchase a new $200,000 home) spend roughly 12,3 percent of their income on food and drink (at home and eating out), while households earning $222,000 who can afford to buy a new $1.0 million home spend only about 7.0 percent of their income on these items. Because of these and other differences in proportionate spending, the expenditure profile varies at different income levels. The household's typical expenditures were converted to the number of jobs created by their spending. The first step in this process is to determine how much of an industry's gross receipts are used to pay wages and employee compensation. EPS relied on data from the Economic Census,z which provides employment, gross sales, and payroll data by industry for Riverside County. In certain instances, Riverside County data was not available for every Economic Census industry —in those cases, EPS relied on statewide Economic Census data for that industry. To link the Economic Census data and the Consumer Expenditure Survey data, EPS made determinations as to the industries involved with expenditures in various categories. For example, purchases in the Consumer Expenditure Survey's "Food at Home" category would likely involve the Economic Census's "Food & Beverage Stores" industry, where gross receipts were nearly 10 times the employees' wages. By contrast, purchases in the Consumer Expenditure Survey's "Entertainment Fees and Admissions" category were attributed to the Economic Census' "Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation" industry, where gross receipts are only about four times the employees' wages. Where more than one Economic Census category was attributable to a Consumer Expenditure Survey category, EPS estimated the proportion of expenditures associated with each Economic Census category. After determining the amount of the household's expenditures that were used for employee wages, an estimation of the number of employees those aggregate wages represent is required. EPS calculated the number of workers supported by that spending using the average wage per worker (also from the 2007 Economic Census). These wages ranged from a low of roughly $14,000 per year for workers in the food services industry to a high of roughly $85,000 average salary for legal services.3 2 Note that the Consumer Expenditure Survey data is based on information current as of 2013 and data from the Economic Census was published in 2007. Because the data sources were from different years, EPS converted the 2013 expenditures to 2007 dollars using the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the Riverside -San Bernardino -Ontario Statistical Area (MSA) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. 3 Note that the average salary reported for legal services reflects the full range of workers employed by that industry sector, including administrative staff and entry-level employees, as well as the attorneys. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 13 Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for For -Sale Housing 02106115 This methodology recognizes that a range of occupations and incomes exist in a given industry sector. For instance, the methodology used to generate Tables A-1 to A-6 in Appendix A distinguishes between the typical incomes of workers in different types of retail stores (e.g., "food and beverage stores" versus "general merchandise stores"), rather than assuming all retail sector workers earn the same income. However, the average wage is used for each sub- category of industry employment and represents a reasonable proxy for the range of incomes in that group: while some employees will have higher wages and require lower subsidies, others will have lower incomes and require higher subsidies. Using the average approximates the total housing subsidy needed by workers in that industry. To calculate the number of households supported by the expenditures of market -rate housing units, EPS estimated the employees' household formation rates. Importantly, employees generated from the increase in housing units do not all form households; some employees, in the retail and food services industries in particular, are young workers and do not form households. Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicates that 12.5 percent of retail/restaurant workers are age 16-19, but an average of only 1.9 percent of workers in other industries. EPS applied these discounts to household formation to get a more accurate calculation of households formed by the employees and the average total incomes of those households. To get the overall households' income rather than the individual workers', the wages of workers forming households were multiplied by the average of approximately 1.52 workers per working household in Palm Desert.4 This assumption implies the workers in a given household will have roughly equivalent pay per hour. While certainly there will often be some variation in wages per employee within a household, on average this assumption is reasonable because it implies comparable levels of education and training among all workers in a household. The average household incomes then are allocated to various income categories to estimate the number of affordable housing units demanded in each income category (VLI, LI, Median, and moderate - income). 4 Workers per working household based on American Community Survey (ACS) Census data current as of January 2015. The average workers per working household estimate is calculated by taking the total number of people in the labor force and dividing it by the number of households with earnings. This methodology seeks to provide a conservative estimate of household formation by excluding households without workers or earnings (such as those with retired persons). Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 14 Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for For -Sale Housing 02106115 A simplified example of these calculations follows: A. Number of Households (prototype project) 1,000 B. Average Household Income (in the project) $75,000 C. Aggregate Household Income (A x B) $75 million D. Average Income Spent on Retail (Consumer Expenditure Survey) $20,000 E. Aggregate Retail Spending (A x D) $20 million F. Retail Gross Receipts: Payroll Ratio (Economic Census) 10:1 G. Estimated Retail Payroll (E+F) $2 million H. Average Retail Wage (Economic Census) $20,000 I. Estimated Total Retail Jobs (G + H) 100 J. Percent Age 20+ (Bureau of Labor Statistics) 87.5% K. Total Retail Workers Forming Households 88 J. Average Workers/Household (Census Data) 1.52 K. Estimated Households Created (I + J) 58 L. Average Household Income (H x J) $30,400 M. Income Category (HCD Income Standards) LI 60% In this simplified example, 1,000 new market -rate homes sold to households earning $75,000 per year would create demand for 58 housing units for retail workers' households typically earning less than 60 percent of AMI. Actual calculations and impact distinctions by type of household expenditure for various home prices are shown in the series of tables presented in Appendix A. Demand for Public -Sector Workers In addition to the jobs created by the spending of the new market -rate households, this analysis also aims to evaluate the number of public -sector employees generated by the public service demands of new market -rate households. Rather than a comprehensive computation of public - sector employment, the analysis aims to be conservative by sampling only certain public -sector jobs (e.g., teachers and transportation providers) that are expected to grow in proportionate measure to household growth. Data from the 2013 Occupational Employment Survey for the Riverside -San Bernardino -Ontario MSA was used to determine the number of these public -sector employees needed to serve new market -rate development, and the average annual wage among each selected public -sector job type. EPS reviewed the data and sampled occupations that were public sector -related, as shown in Table A-5 in Appendix A. Based on the ratio of the selected public -sector jobs to the total households in the MSA, EPS estimates that approximately 62 government jobs or 41 households with a government employee are required per 1,000 total households. These figures are conservative (i.e., low) because numerous types of public -sector jobs are not included in this analysis (such as federal postal workers, County health and human services workers, etc.). Also, please note that EPS has no basis to distinguish differences in the number of public -sector workers demanded by households based on different income levels, so the same numbers of public -sector jobs are assumed to be generated by units of all prices. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 15..,.,„,.,n...,mo�x„wv�un,..m��uuz,=,•. Nexus -Based Affordable Housing fee Analysis for For -Sale Housing 02106115 Combined Demand for Income -Qualified Workers The total number of income -qualified households required to support the expenditure and public - sector service needs of new market -rate units were determined based on the affordable housing income limits from HUD for a 3-person household. Table 4 summarizes the HUD income limits used to compute the total number of income -qualified households generated by construction of market -rate units.s The numbers of income -qualified households required to provide goods and services to new housing units at various prices are detailed in Appendix B. The nexus methodology used herein computes the total number of income -qualified households generated by market -rate units and calculates the impact fee based on the estimated cost to subsidize the production of units to meet that affordable housing demand. This methodology does not suggest that all lower income service workers serving City residents reside in the City, but it does assume that new development should mitigate for the new affordable housing demand it creates. Fee Calculation The affordability gap analysis quantifies the subsidy required to construct affordable housing at various income levels (VLI, LI, Median, etc.). Analysis of consumer expenditures that rely on lower wage workers provides an estimate of the total number of income -qualified households generated by new for -sale units. Then for each category of market -rate units, the nexus -based fee is calculated by applying the total number of income -qualified households generated to the affordability gap computed for each affordable household income level. The analysis provides the maximum supportable nexus -based fees for new housing development in the City of Palm Desert. Tables 5 through 10 show the impact fee calculation for different prices of homes. The total impact fees required for a representative project of 100 units is calculated by multiplying the number of affordable units required per income level by the cost of subsidizing such housing. All income -qualified households are assumed to be housed in multifamily units and the subsidies needed are calculated as the affordability gaps shown in Table 2. The resulting maximum impact fee for market -rate rental units ranges from approximately $13,400 for homes sold at $200,000 to roughly $58,400 for homes sold at $1.2 million. 5 To correspond to the available data regarding employee wages, the 2007 Riverside County affordable housing income limits from HUD and HCD were used to determine the number of income - qualified households, based on household expenditures, while 2013 income limits were used for public -sector employment. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 16 Table 4 HUD Income Limits Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 2007 2013 2014 Percentage of Max Income Threshold Max Income Threshold Max Income Threshold Affordability Category County Median 3-person household 3-person household 3-person household Very Low Income (LI) - 50% 31 % - 50% $26,650 $28,700 $27,350 Low Income (LI) - 60% 51%-60% $31,980 $34,440 $32,820 Low Income (LI) - 80% 61 % - 80% $42,600 $45,900 $43,700 Median Income (Med) 81%- 100% $53,300 $57,400 $54,700 Moderate Income (Mod) 101%-120% $63,960 $68,880 $65,640 Above Moderate Income (Above Mod) 120%+ `Note: Data for Riverside -San Bernardino -Ontario, CA MSA Sources: US Department of Housing and Urban Development; California Department of Housing and Community Development; Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. V Economic B Planning Systems, Inc. 2WO15 P.1141000s1141134PalmDesertWode11141134famalemOde/020515.xisK Table 5 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations — $200,000 Unit Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Item Affordable Units Required Per 100 Market -Rate Units (A) Financing Gap per Affordable Unit 11] (B) Total Impact Fee Required Per 100 Market -Rate Per Market Rate Unit Units (C=A*B) Affordable Units - Very Low Income (50%) 4.8 $163,873 $781,605 Affordable Units - Low Income (60%) 1.2 $134,036 $161,379 Affordable Units - Low Income (80%) 2.7 $117,968 $321,492 Affordable Units - Median Income 1_3 $57,968 $76,165 Total 10.0 $1, 340, 640 [1] Subsidies are based on financing gap for rental units, as shown on Table 2. Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. (D=C/100) $13,406 Emnomic&Planning Systems, Inn ZWO15 P:114f000sll4ll34PalmDmer Mode11141134fomalemode/020515.xlu Table 6 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations — $400,000 Unit Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Item Affordable Units Required Per 100 Market -Rate Units (A) Total Impact Fee Required Financing Gap per Per 100 Market -Rate Per Market Rate Unit Affordable Unit 11] Units (B) (C = A * B) (D = C 1100) Affordable Units - Very Low Income (50%) 8.3 $163,873 $1,357,807 Affordable Units - Low Income (60%) 2.0 $134,036 $270,207 Affordable Units - Low Income (80%) 4.6 $117,968 $544,178 Affordable Units - Median Income 2_1 $57,968 $122,847 Total 17.0 $2, 295, 039 11] Subsidies are based on financing gap for rental units, as shown on Table 2. Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. Econamic & Planning Systems, Inc. 2/52015 $22,950 P:1141000s1141134Pa/mDesenWode1V41134romalemode/020515.xlsx N O Table 7 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations — $600,000 Unit Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Item Affordable Units Required Per 100 Market -Rate Units (A) Financing Gap per Affordable Unit [1] (B) Total Impact Fee Required Per 100 Market -Rate Per Market Rate Unit - Units (C=A-B) Affordable Units - Very Low Income (50%) 12.3 $163,873 $2,015,437 Affordable Units - Low Income (60%) 2.5 $134,036 $340,053 Affordable Units - Low Income (80%) 6.8 $117,968 $802,693 Affordable Units - Median Income 2_8 $57,968 $160,058 Total 24.4 $3,318,246 [11 Subsidies are based on financing gap for rental units, as shown on Table 2. Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc 21WO15 (D=C/100) $33,182 P:1141000sll41134PalmDeserAMOdeM411341omalemode1020515.xlsx N F+ Table 8 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations — $800,000 Unit Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Item Affordable Units Required Per 100 Market -Rate Units (A) Total Impact Fee Required Financing Gap per Per 100 Market -Rate Per Market Rate Unit Affordable Unit [1] Units (B) (C = A * B) (D = C / 100) Affordable Units - Very Low Income (50%) 15.0 $163,873 $2,456,571 Affordable Units - Low Income (60%) 2.7 $134,036 $357,010 Affordable Units - Low Income (80%) 8.2 $117,968 $971,179 Affordable Units - Median Income 2_9 $57,968 $170,312 Total 28.8 $3,955,072 11] Subsidies are based on financing gap for rental units, as shown on Table 2. Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. Eamomic & Planning Systems, Inc. 2(612015 $39,551 P:4141000s1141134PatmDesenWodeA141134fomalemodeio20515.xisx N N Table 9 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations — $1,000,000 Unit Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Item Affordable Units Required Per 100 Market -Rate Units (A) Financing Gap per Affordable Unit [1] (B) Total Impact Fee Required Per 100 Market -Rate Per Market Rate Unit Units (C=A-B) Affordable Units - Very Low Income (50%) 18.6 $163,873 $3,045,381 Affordable Units - Low Income (60%) 3.3 $134,036 $436,264 Affordable Units - 'Low Income (80%) 10.2 $117,968 $1,203,958 Affordable Units - Median Income 3_6 $57,968 $208,894 Total 35.6 $4, 894, 497 [1] Subsidies are based on financing gap for rental units, as shown on Table 2. Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 2162015 (D=C/100) $48,945 P:1141000s1141134PalmDeser Mode1114ll34romatemode1020515.xlu N W Table 10 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations — $1,200,000 Unit Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Item Affordable Units Required Per 100 Market -Rate Units (A) Financing Gap per Affordable Unit [1] (B) Total Impact Fee Required Per 100 Market -Rate Per Market Rate Unit Units (C=A-B) Affordable Units - Very Low Income (50%) 22.2 $163,873 $3,634,191 Affordable Units - Low Income (60%) 3.9 $134,036 $520,613 Affordable Units - Low Income (80%) 12.2 $117,968 $1,436,738 Affordable Units - Median Income 4_3 $57,968 $247,477 Total 42.5 $5, 839, 019 [1] Subsidies are based on financing gap for rental units, as shown on Table 2. Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. Economic 8 Planning Systems, Inc 243/2015 (D=C/100) $58,390 P.,1141000s1141134PalmOosenWodeAI41134tbmalemode1020515.x1sx APPENDICES: Appendix A: Household Expenditures and Employment Generation —ems Appendix B: Income Levels for Worker Households C� , APPENDIX A: Household Expenditures and Employment Generation Table A-1 Estimated Average Annual Household Expenditures and Associated Employment Generation - $200,000 Unit ............A-1 Table A-2 Estimated Average Annual Household Expenditures and Associated Employment Generation - $400,000 Unit ............A-2 Table A-3 Estimated Average Annual Household Expenditures and Associated Employment Generation - $600,000 Unit ............A-3 Table A-4 Estimated Average Annual Household Expenditures and Associated Employment Generation $800,000 Unit ............A-4 Table A-5 Estimated Average Annual Household Expenditures and Associated Employment Generation - $1,000,000 Unit .......... A-5 Table A-6 Estimated Average Annual Household Expenditures and Associated Employment Generation - $1,200,000 Unit .......... A-6 Table A-7 Representative Government Employment and Wages, 2010.............................................................................. 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M.a .xJpnl.e9nWBJP.%x..nx.M, n9 .d ,... +, we•wn..xem.xMB��..l ad,.d �1��..rnl.�"`wPew�+::•�.m+e:".:aamw.mmleme�.m�E�Jew%m`."'o.=: E,xwBn.am.wn, �wJ::°a'nea .mw'�.'�wn'dm�i"robmwa �� �i�xW..m""�5,..am�p%�. enlw,.n.,neB.,e.nwwwAn.WmmnP.....�xeu..rx,. so.n mnpm.mrE.W�m,mamm ua aa„alwnGJ.n., mdl..mnemxaua pnx%.x%pmnnm.u�me..P.m.Janne. �m A-6 s.eman.wArrara v-mn Mrar .nnaau,r� im Table A-7 Representative Government Employment and Wages, 2010 [1] Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Govt 2013 Govt Govt Empll Govt Employee Employment 2013 MSA 1,000 Employee 2013 Avg. HH Income 2013 Income Item [2] Total HH [3] County HH HH [4] Wage [2] [4] Category [5] Protective Service Occupations 33,990 1,297,675 26 17.3 $49.516 $83,715 Above Mod Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 3,170 1,297,675 2 1.6 $30,837 $52,135 Mad Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education 2,250 1,297,675 2 1.1 $68,240 $115,372 Above Mod Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 17,170 1,297,675 13 8.7 $73,835 $124,831 Above Mod Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 5,170 1,297,676 4 2.6 $75,221 $127,174 Above Mod Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 6,370 1,297,675 5 3.2 $70,952 $119,957 Above Mod Special Education Teachers, Preschool, Kindergarten, and Elementary School 2,280 1,297,675 2 1.2 $79,187 $133,879 Above Mod Special Education Teachers, Middle School 640 1,297,675 0 0.3 $69,495 $117,493 Above Mod Special Education Teachers, Secondary School 930 1,297,675 1 0.5 $68,281 $115,441 Above Mod Teachers and Instructors, All Other 2,610 1,297,675 2 1.3 $58,528 $98,952 Above Mod Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity 1,020 1,297,675 1 0.5 $39,593 $66,939 Mod Bus Drivers, School 4,710 1,297,675 4 2.4 $34,959 $59,104 Mod Total 62 40.8 [1] Not a comprehensive list of government employment. Rather a sampling of government jobs for which employment is likely to be directly affected by increases in local population. [2] Government employment and wages based on 2013 Occupational Employment Statistics data for Riverside -San Bemardino-Ontario MSA. [3] Riverside -San Bemardino-Ontario MSA figure from 2013 ACS Census data. [4] Assumes 1.52 workers per working household per 2009-2013 Census data. ' [5] See Table 4. Sources: 2013 Occupational Employment Statistics, CA Employment Development Department; US Census; Economic & Planning Systems, Inc Eronomice Planning Systems, Inc @ 015 P.114100051141134Pe1meewa odeltl41134lamWem elO20515•/lea APPENDIX B: Income Levels for Worker Households Table B-1 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units - $200,000 Unit.................................................................B-1 Table B-2 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units - $400,000 Unit.................................................................B-2 Table B-3 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units - $600,000 Unit.................................................................B-3 Table B-4 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units - $800,000 Unit.................................................................B-4 Table B-5 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units - $1,000,000 Unit..............................................................B-5 Table B-6 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units - $1,200,000 Unit..............................................................B-6 Table B-1 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units-$200,000 Unit Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Industry Retail Unspecified Retail Food & Beverage Stares Food Services and Drinking Places Health and Personal Care Stores General Merchandise Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealer Electronics and Appliance Stores Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Gasoline Stations Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Nonstore Retailers Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation Medical/Health Ambulatory Health Care Services General Medical and Surgical Hospitals Nursing and Residential Care Facilities Social Assistance Services Personal and Household Goods Repair and Maintenance Services to Buildings and Dwellings Waste Management and Remediation Services Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Personal Care Services Dry Cleaning and laundry Services Auto Repair and Maintenance Veterinary Services Photographic Services Educational Services Accounting Architectural, Engineering, and Related Specialized Design Services Death Care Services Legal Services Government Total Employees HH[11 Very LmvLow(60%'J.ow(80%; Med Total HH Generated Per 1,000 Market -Rate Units Total Income -Qualified HH Generated Per 100 Market -Rate Units 2 1 0 1 0 0 17 10 0 0 10 0 64 32 32 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 2 0 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 0 0 0 1 7 4 0 4 0 0 4 2 2 0 0 0 6 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 0 2 0 0 4 2 2 0 0 0 4 2 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 0 0 2 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 0 0 4 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 6 10 2 1 6 1 7 1 0 14 2 1 1 1 0 62 241 Above Mod Mod 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 7 0 0 7 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 5 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 41 0 0 0 2 3 148 48 12 27 13 7 4.8 1 3 1 1 [1] Assumes 1.69 workers per worker household based on the 2010 Census. Includes a 12.5%discount for retail and 1.9% discount for other industries to account for workers under age 20. (2] Excludes above moderate -Income households bemuse these incomes are adequate to acquire market -rate housing. Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 41 4 Emnamw 6 PlannmO Sy#em0. I= Y 015 B-1 RIL1MOsVH19Palmesel WeAI41139r W=odelOW515 xbx Table B-2 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units-$400,000 Unit Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Industry Retail Unspecified Retail Food & Beverage Stores Food Services and Drinking Places Health and Personal Care Stores General Merchandise Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealer Electronics and Appliance Stores Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores Motor Vehicle and Paris Dealers Gasoline Stations Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Nonstore Retailers Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation MedlcallHealth Ambulatory Health Care Services General Medical and Surgical Hospitals Nursing and Residential Care Facilities Social Assistance Services Personal and Household Goods Repair and Maintenance Services to Buildings and Dwellings Waste Management and Remediation Services Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Personal Care Services Dry Cleaning and Laundry Services Auto Repair and Maintenance Veterinary Services Photographic Services Educational Services Accounting Architectural, Engineering, and Related Specialized Design Services Death Cam Services Legal Services Government Total Employees HH[1] Very Low Low (60%)Low(80%1 Mod Total HH Generated Per 1,000 Market -Rate Units Total Income -Qualified HH Generated Per 100 Market -Rate Units 3 2 0 2 0 26 15 0 0 15 91 53 53 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 7 4 0 4 0 5 3 0 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 11 7 0 7 0 7 4 4 0 0 10 6 0 a 0 5 3 0 3 0 7 4 4 0 0 8 5 0 5 0 1 0 0 a 0 7 4 0 0 4 Above Mod Mod 0 a 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 10 6 0 0 6 0 0 4 3 0 0 3 0 0 10 6 0 0 6 0 0 16 10 0 0 t0 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 9 6 6 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 12 8 0 0 0 8 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 a 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 15 15 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 fit 41 0 0 Q 2 3 369 224 83 20 46 21 10 8 2 5 2 1 (11 Assumes 1.69 workers per worker household based on the 2010 Census. Includes a 12.5% discount for retail and 1.9% discount for other industries to account lorworxers under age 20. [21 Excludes above moderate -income households because these Incomes are adequate to acquire market -rate housing. Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc 2 z 0 0 36 44 4 Econwmc 6P/annm95YNemq lnc L5 M B--L P1f410.'VSI1Hf3IPamL�salLNcdM1I1131Iw5elemotlN ^15tla+ Table B-3 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units-$600,000 Unit Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Industry Retail Unspecified Retail Food & Beverage Stores Food Services and Drinking Places Health and Personal Care Stares General Merchandise Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealer Electronics and Appliance Stores Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Gasoline Stations Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Nonslore Retailers Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation Medical/Health Ambulatory Health Care Services General Medical and Surgical Hospitals Nursing and Residential Care Facilities Social Assistance Services Personal and Household Goods Repair and Maintenance Services to Buildings and Dwellings Waste Management and Remediation Services Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Personal Care Services Dry Cleaning and Laundry Services Auto Repair and Maintenance Veterinary Services Photographic Services Educational Services Accounting Architectural, Engineering, and Related Specialized Design Services Death Care Services Legal Services Total Above Employees HH]1] Very Low Low (60%) Low (80%) Med Mod Mod 5 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 33 19 0 0 19 0 0 0 130 76 76 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 9 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 7 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 5 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 15 9 0 9 0 0 0 0 9 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 16 9 0 0 0 0 9 0 6 4 0 4 0 0 0 0 10 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 9 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 16 9 0 0 9 0 0 0 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 15 10 0 0 10 0 0 0 8 5 0 0 5 0 0 0 Government Total HH Generated Per 1,000 Market -Rate Units Total Income -Qualified HH Generated Per 100 Market -Rate Units 14 9 0 0 9 0 0 22 14 0 0 14 0 0 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 13 9 9 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 16 11 0 0 0 11 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 47 27 27 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 62 41 0 0 0 2 3 Sol 304 123 25 68 28 13 12 3 7 3 1 11] Assumes 1.69 workers per worker household based on the 2010 Census. Includes a 12.5 % discount for retail and 1.9% discount for other indusbies to account for workers under age 20. [2] Excludes above moderate -income households because these incomes are adequate to acquire market -rate housing. Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 36 47 5 Emnomlee PlannMg Syalema, Inc vsrzol5 B-3 P1141W 11411VPNm0eseR adeAI41154ksal=m e1000515 Wu Table 04 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units-$800,000 Unit Palm Desert Housing impact Fee, EPS #141134 - Industry Retail Unspecified Retail Food & Beverage Stores Food Services and Drinking Places Health and Personal Care Stares General Merchandise Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealer Electronics and Appliance Stores Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Gasoline Stations Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Nonstwe Retailers Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation Medical/Health Ambulatory Health Care Services General Medical and Surgical Hospitals Nursing and Residential Care Facilities Social Assistance Services Personal and Household Goods Repair and Maintenance Services to Buildings and Dwellings Waste Management and Remediation Services Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Personal Care Services Dry Cleaning and Laundry Services Auto Repair and Maintenance Veterinary Services Photographic Services Educational Services Accounting Architectural, Engineering, and Related Specialized Design Services Death Care Services Legal Services Total Above Employees HH[1) Very Low Low (60%)Low (80%) Med Mod Mod 4 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 31 18 0 0 18 0 0 0 136 79 79 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 0 a 0 3 0 0 10 6 0 6 0 0 0 0 8 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 6 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 16 9 0 9 0 0 0 0 10 6 6 0 0 0 0 D 15 8 0 0 0 0 B 0 5 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 15 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 11 6 0 6 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 D 0 1 0 0 22 12 0 0 12 0 0 0 Government Total HH Generated Per 1,000 Market -Rate Units Total Income -Qualified HH Generated Per 100 Market -Rate Units 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 18 12 0 0 12 0 0 12 8 0 0 8 0 0 14 9 0 0 9 0 0 32 21 0 0 21 0 0 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 13 8 8 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 16 11 0 0 0 11 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 83 48 48 0 0 0 0 5 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 0 a 0 62 Al 0 0 0 a 3 576 348 150 27 82 29 13 15 3 8 3 1 (1) Assumes 1,69 workers per worker household based on the 2010 Census. Includes a 12.5 % discount far retail and 1.9 % discount for other industries to account for workers under age 20, (2] Excludes above moderate -income households because these incomes are adequate to acquire market -rate housing. Source: Economic 8 Planning Systems, Inc. 3 2 0 0 36 47 5 Ewnwnc6%enrvnD SplemAlnc ZeW15 B_4 P 1141MS1141IMPSMC $ HMa 141154tmWmWa 2M?545x a Table B-5 Household Generation per 1,000 Markel Rate Units - 51,000,000 Unit Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS 0141134 Total Industry Employees HH [11 Very Low Low (60%) Low (80%) Mad Mod Above Mod Retail Unspecified Retail Food & Beverage Stores Food Servlms and Drinking Places Health and Personal Care Stores General Merchandise Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealer Electronics and Appliance Stores Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores -Motor Vehicle and Pads Dealers Gasoline Stations Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Nonslore Retailers Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation Medical/Health Ambulatory Health Care Services General Medical and Surgical Hospitals Nursing and Residential Care Facilities Social Assistance Services Personal and Household Goods Repair and Maintenance Services to Buildings and Dwellings Waste Management and Remediation Services Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Personal Care Services Dry Cleaning and Laundry Services Auto Repair and Maintenance Veterinary Services Photographic Services Educational Services Accounting Architectural, Engineering, and Related Specialized Design Services Death Care Services Legal Services Government Total HH Generated Per 1,000 Market -Rate Units Total Income -Qualified HH Generated Per 100 Markel -Rate Units 5 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 38 22 0 0 22 0 0 0 168 98 98 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 12 7 0 7 0 0 0 0 10 6 0 0 0 6 0 0 7 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 19 11 0 11 0 0 0 0 12 7 7 0 0 0 0 0 18 10 0 0 0 0 10 0 7 4 0 4 0 0 0 0 18 11 11 0 0 0 0 0 13 7 0 7 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 27 15 0 0 15 0 0 0 6 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 22 14 0 0 14 0 0 0 15 10 0 0 10 0 0 0 18 11 0 0 11 0 0 0 40 26 0 0 26 0 0 0 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 16 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 20 13 0 0 0 13 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 103 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 fit 41 0 0 0 2 3 36 698 421 186 33 102 36 15 50 19 3 10 4 2 5 11] Assumes 1.69 workers per worker household based on the 2010 Census. Includes a 12.5% discount for retail and 1.9 % discount for other industrie: to account forworkers under age 20. [21 Excludes above moderate -income households bemuse these incomes are adequate to acquire market -rate housing. Source: Economic 8 Planning Systems, Inc. E[mmucd Namly Sysleme, lna M015 B_5 p110/WOeliaf l]IPelmnsxaMlWe6fa1f30baLemotle.9M5/S alas Table B-6 Household Generation per 1.050 Market Rate Units-51,200,000 Unit Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Total Industry Employees HH [1] Vary Low Low (60%1 Low (80%] Mad Mod Above Mod Retail Unspecified Retail 7 4 0 4 0 0 0 0 Food & Beverage Stores 45 26 0 0 26 0 0 0 Food Services and Drinking Places 201 117 117 0 0 0 0 0 Health and Personal Care Stores 7 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 General Merchandise 15 6 0 8 0 0 0 0 Furniture and Home Fumishings Stores 12 7 0 0 0 7 0 0 Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealer 8 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 Electronics and Appliance Stores 23 13 0 13 0 0 0 0 ` Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores 14 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers 22 12 0 0 0 0 12 0 Gasoline Stations 8 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 Sporting Goads, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores 22 13 13 0 0 0 0 0 Miscellaneous Store Retailers 15 9 0 9 0 0 0 0 Nonstore Retailers 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 Arts, Entertainment, 8 Recreation 32 18 0 0 18 0 0 0 MadicaOHealth Ambulatory Health Care Services 7 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 General Medical and Surgical Hospitals 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities 27 17 0 0 17 0 0 0 Social Assistance 18 12 0 0 12 0 0 0 Services Personal and Household Goods Repair and Maintenance 21 14 0 0 14 0 0 0 Services to Buildings and Dwellings 47 31 0 0 31 0 0 0 Waste Management and Remediation Services 6 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 Personal Care Services 19 12 12 0 D 0 0 0 Dry Cleaning and Laundry Services 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 Auto Repair and Maintenance 24 16 0 0 0 16 0 0 Veterinary Services 4 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 Photographic Services 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 Educational Services 124 71 71 0 0 0 0 0 Accounting 7 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 Architectural, Engineenng. and Related 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 Specialized Design Services 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 Death Care Services 4 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 Legal Services 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 Government 62 41 0 0 0 2 3 36 Total HH Generated Per 1,000 Market -Rate Units 821 496 222 39 122 43 18 54 Total Income-Qualifiad HH Generated Per 100 Market -Rate Units 22 4 12 4 2 5 113 Assumes 1.69 workers per worker household based on the 2010 Census. Includes a 12.5% discount for rela0 and 1.9%discountfor other industhe: to account for workers under age 20. [2] Excludes above moderate -Income households because these Incomes are adequate to acquire market -rate housing. Source: Economic& Planning Systems, Inc. Emnmx[6P'. J151ffi 011 Y3'M19 B_6 P I141=414 I INPehneeeMlM 0141134�—1020515 I'll Report Nexus -Based Affordable Housing The lira,tn,nrr.,q/Land l,, Fee Analysis for Rental Housing Prepared for: City of Palm Desert Prepared by: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. February 6, 2015 Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. One Kaiser Plaza, Suite 1410 Oakland, CA 94612 510 841 9190 tel 510 740 2080 fax EPS #141134 Oakland Sacramento Denver Los Angeles vv w.epsys.com Table of Contents EXECUTIVESUMMARY.................................................................................................... 1 1. AFFORDABILITY GAP ANALYSIS.................................................................................. 7 ProductType............................................................................................................ 7 Development Cost Assumptions..................................................................................9 RevenueAssumptions...........................:...................................................................9 Affordability Gap Results.......................................................................................... 10 2. DEMAND -BASED NEXUS FEE CALCULATION................................................................. 11 Market -Rate Household Income Levels...................................................................... 11 Household Expenditures and Job Creation by Income Level .......................................... 11 Demand for Public -Sector Workers............................................................................ 15 Combined Demand for Income -Qualified Workers....................................................... 16 FeeCalculation....................................................................................................... 16 APPENDIX A: Household Expenditures and Employment Generation APPENDIX B: Income Levels for Worker Households List of Figures and Tables Figure 1 Illustration of Nexus -Based Housing Fee Methodology............................................2 Table 1 Summary of Housing Impact Fees or Unit Equivalents per Market -Rate Unit.............6 Table 2 Financing Gap Analysis -- Rental Product Type......................................................8 Table 3 Required Income by Unit Type- Market -Rate Rental Apartments ........................... 12 Table4 HUD Income Limits......................................................................................... 17 Table 5 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations -- Studio ....................................................... 18 Table 6 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations -- 1 Bedroom ................................................. 19 Table 7 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations -- 2 Bedroom.................................................20 Table 8 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations -- 3 Bedroom ................................................. 21 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. (EPS) was retained by the City of Palm Desert (City) to conduct a nexus study analyzing the impact that development of market -rate rental housing has on the demand for below -market -rate housing and, based on the results, to determine the defensible nexus -based fee that could be charged to market -rate development. The technical approach used herein quantifies the impacts that the introduction of market -rate rental apartments have on the local economy and the demand for additional affordable housing. As new households are added to the community, local employment also will grow to provide the goods and services required by the new households. To the extent that these new jobs do not pay adequate wages for the employees to afford market -rate housing in the community, the new households' spending is creating a need for affordable housing. A nexus -based affordable housing fee is therefore based on the impact of the new market -rate homes on the demand for affordable housing. The fee calculated in this study represents the maximum fee that may be charged to new market -rate housing units to mitigate their impacts on the affordable housing supply. Such fees are then used by the City to subsidize the production of new affordable units for lower -income households not accommodated by market -rate projects. Calculating the impact of market -rate development in the City on affordable housing needs, and the fees needed to mitigate those impacts, involves three main analytical steps: Step #1. Estimate the typical subsidy required to construct units affordable at various income levels (the "affordability gap"). The analysis focuses on very -low, low-, and median - income households. • Step #2. Determine the market -rate households' demand for goods and services, the jobs created by that demand, and the affordable housing needs of workers in those jobs. Step #3. Combine the affordability gap with the affordable housing demand projections to compute the maximum supportable nexus -based affordable housing fees per market -rate unit. These technical steps are illustrated in Figure 1 and detailed in the body of this Report and the attached Technical Appendices. The findings regarding each of these steps are presented below. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 1•:vaoo•,.,,>.>.x��,.�ww.m„»,..,,�>os,,,.,.,,, Figure 1 Illustration of Nexus -Based Housing Fee Methodology Step #1 Affordability Gap Analysis (Subsidy Required to Construct Affordable Units) Affordable Unit Value minus by Income Development equals Affordability Costs I I Gap Ifnegative � Subsidy / � Required No Subsidy Itpositive Required Required Total Workers to Step #2 Market Rate Household Household Total Demand for ExpenditurProvide Goods and Affordable Housing Demand Unit Rents IncoAffordable Units for me by Category es Services by AfforWorkers (Generated by Market Rate Housing) Level Expenditure Category Step #3 AffordabilityDemand for Maximum Compute Impact Fee Compute Gap multiplied by Affordable Units for Workers equals Supportable Nexus - P Market Rate Unit (Subsidy Required) (per market rate unit) Based Housing Fee (per market rate unit) Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. ZWO15 Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for Rental Housing 02106115 1, The costs to construct affordable housing units affordable to many households exceed those units'values based on the rents or prices that the households can afford to pay. The subsidy required to construct affordable housing units in Palm Desert ranges from roughly $58,000 for a Median Income household to $164,000 for a Very Low Income (VLZ) household. Moderate Income households do not appear to require subsidies, as affordable prices for such households appear able to support the costs of construction. An "affordability gap analysis" evaluates whether or not the costs to construct affordable units exceed the values of units that are affordable to lower- and moderate -income households. For each affordable housing income level (Very Low Income [VLI], Low Income [LI], Median Income, and Moderate Income) this analysis estimates the subsidy required to construct affordable housing units. The affordability gap analysis assumes that the average affordable unit for all income levels will be a 2-bedroom unit in a multifamily development. The estimated costs to construct the prototypical affordable unit are based on published data sources (RS Means Cost Estimator) indexed to Coachella Valley labor and materials costs, and have been vetted with developers active in Coachella Valley. The costs of land acquisition are included in these development cost calculations, and have been based on recent appraisals for residential land in Palm Desert. For units that are eligible for non-competitive Low Income Housing Tax Credits (4 percent tax credits), the value of those tax credits is deducted from the development costs. A household's ability to pay is estimated based on standard percentages of income available for housing costs at each household income level. Income available for housing costs is then converted into a monthly affordable rent and a capitalized unit value or an affordable mortgage payment and supportable home price. This unit value is then compared to the costs of development to determine the subsidy, if any, required to make the unit affordable to each income level. 2. The demand for affordable housing generated by the expenditures of new households in Palm Desert increases along with the market -rate rent price (and related renter income). For example, a one -bedroom unit that rents for $1,200 per month is estimated to create demand for 0.109 affordable housing units requiring development subsidy, while a 3-bedroom unit that rents for $1,900 per month creates demand for 0.156 affordable units. A justified nexus fee is based on the total demand for affordable housing units generated by construction of market -rate units. The link (or nexus) between market -rate housing and increased demand for affordable housing is that residents of market -rate units demand goods and services that rely on many wage earners (for example, retail sales clerks) who typically cannot afford market -rate housing and thus require affordable housing. Because more expensive housing units require renters to have higher incomes, and higher income households create more jobs through their spending, the nexus impacts and thus the justified fees for rental units vary according to the rental price range of the market -rate units. Typically, larger apartments (i.e., more bedrooms) command higher rents, so their occupants are required to have higher household incomes than renters of smaller units. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. - 3 Nexus -Based Affordable Housing fee Analysis for Rental Housing 02/06/15 Thus, larger units create more jobs as a result of their occupants' spending. Nexus impacts and the justified fees for market -rate rental apartments, therefore, vary based on unit size. This analysis evaluates the demand for affordable housing generated by a range of for -rent unit sizes. For each unit size, the demand -based nexus fee calculation involves the following steps: A. Market -Rate Household Income Levels. The required income levels of households occupying new market -rate housing are derived based on the rental rate, assuming standard housing cost expenses as a proportion of overall household income. For example, a typical household renting a recently constructed market -rate two -bedroom unit for around $1,400 per month would have an annual income of roughly $64,000, if they spent 30 percent of their income on housing costs (rent and utilities). B. Household Expenditures. Based on the household income computed in Step A, Consumer Expenditure Survey data was used to evaluate the spending patterns of the household. This analysis provides an estimate of how much the household spends on specific categories of expenditures, such as "Food at Home." As the households' income increases along with the price and size of the market -rate units, the total spending on goods and services also increases. The Consumer Expenditure Survey also indicates that these relationships are not linear (e.g., a household with twice the income does not necessarily spend twice as much on food). C. 3ob Creation and Worker Households. Having estimated the households' spending on various items, that spending is then converted into an estimation of jobs created. For each expenditure category, data regarding average worker wages and the ratio between gross business receipts and wages were used to translate these household expenditures into the total number of private -sector workers. For selected public -sector jobs that typically grow in proportion to the local population size (e.g., teachers), the demand for new workers was estimated by relating current levels of employment in such categories to the current population and applying this ratio to future development. Because each new worker does not represent an independent household (Palm Desert has an average of 1.52 workers per working household), the total number of new households created is somewhat less than the number of new jobs created. EPS has further adjusted the household formation rates to reflect the expectation that a certain proportion of workers will not form their own households, particularly those of younger ages.' D. Worker Households by Income Category. Each worker household generated is assigned to an income category —Very Low Income (VLI), Low Income (LI), Median, Moderate, and Above Moderate —based on its estimated gross wages. This provides the total number of households generated at each income level by construction of market - rate units at various price points. The results indicate that residents of lower -priced units generate fewer worker households requiring affordable housing than do residents of higher -priced units. 1 BLS data indicates that 12.5 percent of retail/restaurant workers are age 16-19, but an average of only 1.9 percent of workers in other industries. EPS has assumed that such young workers do not form their own households. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 4 .:u.1oo .1,.",..'' ,.,„,.,,,,rt,,., ,�,.,.... Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for Rental Housing 02/06/15 These steps of the nexus -based fee calculation provide the total number of income -qualified workers required to meet the needs for goods and services generated by market -rate housing. The number of workers servicing market -rate housing (at each unit size) is then converted to total income qualified households requiring affordable housing subsidy, and each such household is assumed to require one housing unit. 3. This analysis calculates the fees that could be charged to fully mitigate the impact that new market -rate housing has on Palm Desert's affordable housing demand at various representative unit sizes. These fees could range from roughly $12,000 for studio apartments to $21,000 for 3-bedroom apartments. The nexus fee is calculated by applying the number of affordable units needed by income qualified households to the affordability gap for each housing income category. This calculation is made for several different apartment sizes. Table 1 summarizes the maximum nexus -based fees calculated for representative rental unit sizes. The City may also consider whether to allow developers to provide affordable units within their projects, rather than paying the nexus -based fee. Table 1 illustrates the proportions of affordable units that correspond to the fee calculation and demands created by the market -rate units. For instance, a project offering only two -bedroom units would effectively mitigate the demand being created by the market -rate units if it provided 0.117 affordable units (very -low, low, and median income) for each market -rate unit. Please note that these maximum fees are based on the nexus relationship of affordable housing demand created by new market -rate units; EPS recommends that the City consider the feasibility impact of imposing fees while setting any fee on rental housing. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 5 M Table 1 Summary of Housing Impact Fees or Unit Equivalents per Market -Rate Unit Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Market -Rate Maximum Affordable Units Generated/100 Market -Rate Units Unit Size Impact Fee Total Low (50%) Low (60%) Low (80%) Med (100%) Studio $12,123 9.2 4.1 1.1 2.6 1.3 1 Bedroom $14,650 10.9 5.2 1.3 3.0 1.4 2 Bedroom $15,772 11.7 5.7 1.4 3.2 1.5 3 Bedroom .$20,969 15.6 7.6 1.8 4.2 1.9 Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. Emnomic & Planning Systems, Inc 2WO15 P.1141000S1141134PalmDesertlMode11141134mntmode1020515 xlsx 1. AFFORDABILITY GAP ANALYSIS For any nexus -based affordable housing fee calculation, it is necessary to estimate the subsidy required to construct affordable housing units. Table 2 shows the subsidy needed to produce multifamily housing that is affordable to very low-, low-, median- and moderate -income households. Product Type This analysis assumes that new lower -income worker households would be housed in multifamily developments in Palm Desert. Developable residential land in Palm Desert is assumed to be approximately $200,000 per acre, based on an appraisal provided to the City by Lidgard and Associates. EPS has assumed that these projects will have an average density of 20 units per acre, and be built in wood -frame buildings of two to three stories with surface parking. In order to determine the average household size of future affordable housing units, EPS used two estimates from the Census Bureau. The American Community Survey indicates that the average household size in Palm Desert is 2.05 people while the average family size is 2.75 people. The household size figure is significantly skewed by the high population of retirement - age people in Palm Desert, where 46.1 percent of all households have one or more members over age 65 (vs. only 24.9 percent statewide). The average family size is considered more representative of worker households in Palm Desert, so the average household size for future workers is assumed to round up to three people and EPS uses this assumption to determine the applicable income limits for the new units. California State law (California Health and Safety Code Section 50052.5) assumes that a 2- bedroom unit is occupied by a 3-person household, and this assumption is used in this analysis. An affordable 2-bedroom unit in Palm Desert is assumed to have a gross size of about 1,200 square feet (accounting for shared lobbies, hallways, etc.) and a net size of 1,000 square feet — both somewhat smaller than recently constructed market rate units, but similar to recent affordable housing developments. This analysis assumes that all new affordable housing would be rental units, rather than for -sale units. This assumption reflects the fact that many households at lower incomes will not have adequate wealth reserves for down payments on homeownership units, and may have further difficulty absorbing the ongoing costs of homeownership (taxes, repairs, etc.) that they can effectively avoid by renting their homes rather than buying. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 7 Table 2 Financing Gap Analysis — Rental Product Type Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 2 Stories Multifamily With Surface Parking Very Low Low Low Median Moderate Income Income Income Income Income Item ($0%AMI) (60% AM]) (80%AMI) (100%AMI) (120%AMI) Development Program Assumptions Density/Ave 20 20 20 20 20 Average Gross Unit Size 1.200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1.200 Average Net Unit Size 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 Average Number of Bedrooms 2 2 2 2 2 Average Number of Persons per Household 3 3 3 3 3 Parking Spacesi 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 Cost Assumptions 111 Lend/Acre [21 $200.000 $200.000 $200.000 $200,000 $200,000 Land/Unit $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $10.000 Direct Construction Costs/Gross SF (3] $150 $150 $115 $115 $115 Direct Construction Costs/Unit $180,000 $180.000 $138.000 $138,000 $138.000 Parking Construction Costs/Space $2.500 $2,500 $2.500 $2,500 $2,500 Parking Construction CoshNnil $5,000 $5,000 $5.000 $5,000 $5,000 Subtotal, Direct CoslsfUnil $185,000 $185,000 $143,000 $143,000 $143.000 Indirect Costs as a % of Direct Costs (4) 60% 60% 35% 35% 35% Indirect Cosis/Unit $111.000 $111.000 $50.050 $50,050 $50,050 Total Cost(Unit $306,000 $306,000 $203.050 $203.050 $203.050 less Value of 4%Tax Credits[5] -$118,400 -$118,400 $0 $0 $0 Net Cosl Unit $187,600 $187.600 $203,050 $203,050 $203,050 Maximum Supported Unit Value Household Income [6] $27,350 $32,820 $43,700 $54,700 $65,640 Income Available for Housing Costs/Year 171 $8.205 $9.846 $13,110 $16.410 $19.692 less Utility Allowance [81 $2.400 $2,400 $2.400 $2,400 $2.400 Remaining Income Available for Rent $5,805 $7.446 $10,710 $14,010 $17.292 Operating Expenses per Unit/Year 191 $4,500 $4,500 $6.031 $6,031 $6.031 Net Opemting Income $1,305 $2,946 $4.680 $7,980 $11.262 Capitalization Rate (10] 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% Total Supportable Unit Value $23.727 $53,564 $85.082 $145,082 $204.755 Financing Gap $163,873 $134,036 $117,968 $57.968 $0 [1]Costs for 50E0% AMI units assume protects are built by non-profit builders, and require prevailing wage For units at a0.120%of AMI, EPS has assumed lower development costs consistent with for -profit builders' cast bases, and do not assume prevailing wage. [2) The land costs represent an expected price for developable residential land, per a December 2014 appraisal provided to the City of Palm Desert [31 Includes seats for labor and materials. 14] Includes costs far architecture and engineering; entitlement and fees; project management, marketing, commissions, and general administrator; financing and charges, insurance, and contingency. Tax credit projects (at or below 60% AMI) are assumed to include developer fee at 14%of eligible basis (514% Tax Credits are assumed to be received forunits at 60% AMI or below. Value of tax credits is estimated at 40%of eligible basis, which is all direct and morect costs but excludes land seats. 161 Based on HCD 2014 income limits for RiveradeSan Bemardmo Ontam MSA M Assumes housing costs to be 30%of gross household income. [8] Based on Housing Authority of Riverside County Allowances for Tenant Furnished UbIdes and other Services assuming an apartment using natural gas for healing and making. [91 Operating expenses include costs of tenants'utilities. Units for households above 60% AMl are assumed to be built asfor-protil projects and thus subject to property tax [101 Capitalization rate estimated by EPS based on recent apartment industry Investment standards. Ecmwnm6Plem1S,v,. 23,2015 8 P I141=31141134Patm so WWeN41134ranlmYal010515 s1v Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for Rental Housing 02106115 Development Cost Assumptions Affordable housing development costs include land costs, direct costs (e.g. labor and materials), indirect or "soft" costs (e.g., architecture, entitlement, marketing, etc.), and developer profit. For rental projects, operating costs also must be incorporated into the analysis. Data from recent Palm Desert development and recent land transactions have been combined with EPS's information from local housing developers and published data sources to estimate development cost assumptions for a prototypical project in Palm Desert. These cost assumptions are shown on Table 2. Projects offering units affordable to households at or below 60 percent of Area Median Income (AMI) are typically eligible for "40/u" Low Income Housing Tax Credits, which yield equity equal to roughly 40 percent of the "eligible basis" of the development (all project costs excluding land acquisition). Such projects are subject to prevailing wage requirements, however, which increase their direct costs substantially. Also, the developer's fee for such projects is included as an indirect cost, and can represent up to 14 percent of the eligible basis. These added costs are more than offset by the value of the tax credit, however, so the net cost of development for such units is estimated to be slightly less than the cost of developing units for households at 80 to 120 percent of AMI. Revenue Assumptions To calculate the values of the affordable units, assumptions must be made regarding the applicable income level (moderate, median, LI, and VLI) and the percentage of income spent on housing costs. In addition, translating these assumptions into unit prices and values requires estimates of operating expenses, capital reserves, and capitalization rates. The following assumptions were used in these calculations: • Income Levels —The maximum allowable incomes used in each affordable housing income category are consistent with those set forth by the federal government (U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development [HUD]): VLI = 50 percent of Area Median Income (AMI), LI 60%= 60 percent of AMI, LI 80%= 80 percent of AMI, Median Income = I00 percent of AMI, and Moderate Income = 120 percent of AMI. Percentage of Gross Household Income Available for Housing Costs—HCD standards on overpaying for rent indicate that households earning less than 80 percent of AMI should pay no more than 30 percent of their gross income on housing costs. For this analysis, EPS has assumed that all income qualified renter households shall spend 30 percent of their gross income on housing costs, including rent and utilities. • other Costs Included for Rental Units —In addition to rent payments, the analysis assumes $200 per month in utility costs based on the Riverside County Housing Authority utility allowance table. This amount is subtracted from the total available housing costs (30 percent of household income) to determine the net amount available for rent payments. operating Costs for Rental Units —The analysis assumes that apartment operators incur annual costs of $4,500 per unit for VLI and LI 60% units and about $6,000 for LI 80%, Median, and Moderate units. EPS has assumed the LI 80%, Median, and Moderate income units would be built by for -profit builders and subject to property taxes. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 9 .-uuoo.,,.,».rmrcww•nom.... :u:, �.�s Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for Rental Housing 02106115 Affordability Gap Results Table 2 shows the subsidies for construction of for -rent apartments for VLI through moderate - income households. The affordability gap ranges from $0 for moderate -income households (i.e., moderate -income households can afford home prices adequate to cover the costs of construction) to roughly $164,000 for VLI households. The affordability gap for VLI households is much higher because these households have significantly less income available for housing costs, while construction costs remain essentially the same. The affordability gaps by income level then were used to calculate the justified nexus -based fees by multiplying this required subsidy by the number of units required to house workers providing goods and services to new market -rate housing development. This methodology is discussed in more detail in the following chapter. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 10 2. DEMAND -BASED NEXUS FEE CALCULATION The maximum supportable nexus fees are based on both the affordability gap, calculated in the previous chapter, and the estimated impact that new market -rate units have on the need for affordable units, as reflected in the number of income -qualified local workers required to support the residents of market -rate units and the total subsidy required to construct housing for those workers. This approach is based on the following logic: (a) residents of market -rate housing have disposable incomes and require a variety of goods and services (including private sector goods and services and government services); (b) the provision of those goods and services will require some workers who make moderate or lower incomes and cannot afford market -rate housing; and (c) fees charged to market -rate projects can mitigate the impact of those projects on the increased need for affordable housing. Market -Rate Household Income Levels Households with larger incomes typically spend more on goods and services, therefore creating additional lower income jobs, which in turn generate a greater demand for affordable housing. To assess the impact that market -rate rental units have on the need for affordable housing, EPS determined the minimum income required to rent a market -rate apartment at various bedroom sizes, as shown in Table 3. Average rents for various apartment sizes (studio, and 1, 2, and 3 bedrooms) are based on a survey of rental rates for six of the most recent market -rate multifamily projects developed in Palm Desert. The rents for the most recent apartment projects were used, rather than average rents for all apartments, because these newer apartments best represent the rents that can be expected with new market -rate apartment development. Assuming utility costs for each unit size based on the Riverside County Housing Authority utility allowance table, the minimum household income needed to rent each unit is then computed, predicated on the assumption that a household will spend 30 percent of their income on housing costs (rent and utility payments). As shown, required household incomes range from approximately $46,000 for a studio apartment to roughly $85,000 for a 3-bedroom apartment. Household Expenditures and Job Creation by Income Level Having established the income requirements for renting apartments of various sizes, the fee calculation then requires an analysis of the household spending patterns at those required income levels. Consistent with nexus fee calculations and impact analysis for schools, parks, roads, etc., this analysis also assumes that all households renting new market -rate units in Palm Desert are "net new" households to the City. To assume otherwise —for instance, that only those buyers or renters of new housing units relocating from outside Palm Desert should be counted in the impact analysis —would require assuming that the homes left by those households Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 11..,,os,.H."�a�. Table 3 Required Income by Unit Type- Market -Rate Rental Apartments Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Required Income by Unit Type Annual Rent Minimum Average Utility Subtotal Rent and Utility Annual Household Apartment Size Rent [1] Allowance[2] and Utilities Expenditures Income Required[3] Formula A B C=A+B D=C'12 E=0130% Studio $975 $165 $1,140 $13,680 $45,600 1-Bedroom $1,200 $175 $1,375 $16,500 $55,000 2-Bedroom $1,400 $200 $1,600 $19,200 $64,000 3-Bedroom $1,900 $229 $2,129 $25,548 $85,160 [1] Based on average rents for available multifamily rentals in each unit size in early January 2015 within the City of Palm Desert. Properties include: The Vineyards, Canterra, Mirabella, Ariana, The Regent, and The Enclave. [2] Based on Housing Authority of Riverside County Allowances for Tenant Furnished Utilities and other Services assuming an apartment using natural gas for heating and cooking. [3] Assumes that a maximum of 30% of annual household income is dedicated to utility and rent expenditures. Sources: ForRent.com; U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development; Economic & Planning Systems, Inc Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 2/52015 P.1141000SI141134PalmDesenVdode0141134mntmade1020515.xiu Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for Rental Housing 02106115 relocating within Palm Desert would be demolished or left vacant in perpetuity. This would only be the case were the City experiencing a significant loss of population and housing inventory, as has occurred, for instance, in Detroit. Palm Desert has not experienced such declines. The Consumer Expenditure Survey from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics provides data for households at a variety of income levels, detailing the amounts that typical households spend on things like "Food at Home," "Apparel and Services," and "Vehicle Maintenance and Repairs." Interestingly, household expenditures by category are not uniformly proportional to household income levels. For example, households earning around $55,000 (adequate to rent a new one -bedroom apartment) spend roughly 12.3 percent of their income on food and drink (at home and eating out), while households earning $85,000 who can afford to rent a new three - bedroom apartment spend only about 10.5 percent of their income on these items, Because of these and other differences in proportionate spending, the expenditure profile varies at different income levels. The household's typical expenditures were converted to the number of jobs created by their spending. The first step in this process is to determine how much of an industry's gross receipts are used to pay wages and employee compensation. EPS relied on data from the Economic Census,z which provides employment, gross sales, and payroll data by industry for Riverside County. In certain instances, Riverside County data was not available for every Economic Census industry —in those cases, EPS relied on statewide Economic Census data for that industry. To link the Economic Census data and the Consumer Expenditure Survey data, EPS made determinations as to the industries involved with expenditures in various categories. For example, purchases in the Consumer Expenditure Survey's "Food at Home" category would likely involve the Economic Census's "Food & Beverage Stores" industry, where gross receipts were nearly 10 times the employees' wages. By contrast, purchases in the Consumer Expenditure Survey's "Entertainment Fees and Admissions" category were attributed to the Economic Census' "Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation" industry, where gross receipts are only about 4 times the employees' wages. Where more than one Economic Census category was attributable to a Consumer Expenditure Survey category, EPS estimated the proportion of expenditures associated with each Economic Census category. After determining the amount of the household's expenditures that were used for employee wages, an estimation of the number of employees those aggregate wages represent is required. EPS calculated the number of workers supported by that spending using the average wage per worker (also from the 2007 Economic Census). These wages ranged from a low of roughly $14,000 per year for workers in the food services industry to a high of roughly $85,000 average salary for legal services.3 2 Note that the Consumer Expenditure Survey data is based on information current as of 2013 and data from the Economic Census was published in 2007. Because the data sources were from different years, EPS converted the 2013 expenditures to 2007 dollars using the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the Riverside -San Bernardino -Ontario Statistical Area (MSA) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. 3 Note that the average salary reported for legal services reflects the full range of workers employed by that industry sector, including administrative staff and entry-level employees, as well as the attorneys. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 13 •.u.,00a,�,.,,,...,mom,."�,.,,,.�s„,��.,>,.. Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for Rental Housing 02106115 This methodology recognizes that a range of occupations and incomes exist in a given industry sector. For instance, the methodology used to generate Tables A-1 to A-4 in Appendix A distinguishes between the typical incomes of workers in different types of retail stores (e.g., "food and beverage stores" versus "general merchandise stores"), rather than assuming all retail sector workers earn the same income. However, the average wage is used for each sub- category of industry employment and represents a reasonable proxy for the range of incomes in that group: while some employees will have higher wages and require lower subsidies, others will have lower incomes and require higher subsidies. Using the average approximates the total housing subsidy needed by workers in that industry. To calculate the number of households supported by the expenditures of market -rate housing units, EPS estimated the employees' household formation rates. Importantly, employees generated from the increase in housing units do not all form households; some employees, in the retail and food services industries in particular, are young workers and do not form households. Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicates that 12.5 percent of retail/restaurant workers are age 16-19, but an average of only 1.9 percent of workers in other industries. EPS applied these discounts to household formation to get a more accurate calculation of households formed by the employees and the average total incomes of those households. To get the overall households' income rather than the individual workers', the wages of workers forming households were multiplied by the average of approximately 1.52 workers per working household in Palm Desert.4 This assumption implies the workers in a given household will have roughly equivalent pay per hour. While certainly there will often be some variation in wages per employee within a household, on average this assumption is reasonable because it implies comparable levels of education and training among all workers in a household. The average household incomes then are allocated to various income categories to estimate the number of affordable housing units demanded in each income category (VLI, LI, Median, and moderate - income). 4 Workers per working household based on American Community Survey (ACS) Census data current as of January 2015. The average workers per working household estimate is calculated by taking the total number of people in the labor force and dividing it by the number of households with earnings. This methodology seeks to provide a conservative estimate of household formation by excluding households without workers or earnings (such as those with retired persons). Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 14 Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for Rental Housing 02/06/15 A simplified example of these calculations follows: A. Number of Households (prototype project) 1,000 B. Average Household Income (in the project) $75,000 C. Aggregate Household Income (A x B) $75 million D. Average Income Spent on Retail (Consumer Expenditure Survey) $20,000 E. Aggregate Retail Spending (A x D) $20 million F. Retail Gross Receipts: Payroll Ratio (Economic Census) 10:1 G. Estimated Retail Payroll (E+ F) $2 million H. Average Retail Wage (Economic Census) $20,000 I. Estimated Total Retail Jobs (G _ H) 100 J. Percent Age 20+ (Bureau of Labor Statistics) 87.5% K. Total Retail Workers Forming Households 88 J. Average Workers/Household (Census Data) 1.52 K. Estimated Households Created (I _ J) 58 L. Average Household Income (H x J) $30,400 M. Income Category (HCD Income Standards) LI 60% In this simplified example, 1,000 new market -rate apartments rented to households earning $75,000 per year would create demand for 58 housing units for retail workers' households typically earning less than 60 percent of AMI. Actual calculations and impact distinctions by type of household expenditure for various rental unit sizes are shown in the series of tables presented in Appendix A. Demand for Public -Sector Workers In addition to the jobs created by the spending of the new market -rate households, this analysis also aims to evaluate the number of public -sector employees generated by the public service demands of new market -rate households. Rather than a comprehensive computation of public - sector employment, the analysis aims to be conservative by sampling only certain public -sector jobs (e.g., teachers and transportation providers) that are expected to grow in proportionate measure to household growth. Data from the 2013 Occupational Employment Survey for the Riverside -San Bernardino -Ontario MSA was used to determine the number of these public -sector employees needed to serve new market -rate development, and the average annual wage among each selected public -sector job type. EPS reviewed the data and sampled occupations that were public sector -related, as shown in Table A-5 in Appendix A. Based on the ratio of the selected public -sector jobs to the total households in the MSA, EPS estimates that approximately 62 government jobs or 41 households with a government employee are required per 1,000 total households. These figures are conservative (i.e„ low) because numerous types of public -sector jobs are not included in this analysis (such as federal postal workers, County health and human services workers, etc.). Also, please note that EPS has no basis to distinguish differences in the number of public -sector workers demanded by households based on different income levels or in different sizes of units, so the same numbers of public -sector jobs are assumed to be generated by units of all sizes and prices. Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 15 Nexus -Based Affordable Housing Fee Analysis for Rental Housing 02106115 Combined Demand for Income -Qualified Workers The total number of income -qualified households required to support the expenditure and public - sector service needs of new market -rate units were determined based on the affordable housing income limits from HUD for a 3-person household. Table 4 summarizes the HUD income limits used to compute the total number of income -qualified households generated by construction of market -rate units.s The numbers of income -qualified households required to provide goods and services to new housing units are detailed in Appendix B. The nexus methodology used herein computes the total number of income -qualified households generated by market -rate units and calculates the impact fee based on the estimated cost to subsidize the production of units to meet that affordable housing demand. This methodology does not suggest that all lower income service workers serving City residents reside in the City, but it does assume that new development should mitigate for the new affordable housing demand it creates. Fee Calculation The affordability gap analysis quantifies the subsidy required to construct affordable housing at various income levels (VLI, LI, Median, etc.). Analysis of consumer expenditures that rely on lower wage workers provides an estimate of the total number of income -qualified households generated by new for -rent units. Then for each category of market -rate units, the nexus -based fee is calculated by applying the total number of income -qualified households generated to the affordability gap computed for each affordable household income level. The analysis provides the maximum supportable nexus -based fees for new housing development in the City of Palm Desert. Tables 5 through 8 show the impact fee calculation by number of bedrooms for rental units. The total impact fees required for a representative project of 100 units is calculated by multiplying the number of affordable units required per income level by the cost of subsidizing such housing. All income -qualified households are assumed to be housed in multifamily units and the subsidies needed are calculated as the affordability gaps shown in Table 2. The resulting maximum impact fee for market -rate rental units ranges from approximately $12,000 for a studio apartment to roughly $21,000 for a. 3-bedroom apartment. 5 To correspond to the available data regarding employee wages, the 2007 Riverside County affordable housing income limits from HUD and HCD were used to determine the number of income - qualified households, based on household expenditures, while 2013 income limits were used for public -sector employment. ' Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 16 Table 4 HUD Income Limits Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 2007 2013 2014 Percentage of Max Income Threshold Max Income Threshold Max Income Threshold Affordability Category County Median 3-person household 3-person household 3-person household Very Low Income (LI) - 50% 31 % - 50% $26,650 $28,700 $27,350 Low Income (LI) - 60% 51 % - 60% $31,980 $34,440 $32,820 Low Income (LI) - 80% 61%- 80% $42,600 $45,900 $43,700 Median Income (Med) 81%- 100% $53,300 $57,400 $54,700 Moderate Income (Mod) 101%- 120% $63,960 $68,880 $65,640 Above Moderate Income (Above Mod) 120%+ 'Note: Data for Riverside -San Bernardino -Ontario, CA MSA Sources: US Department of Housing and Urban Development; California Department of Housing and Community Development; Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. V ECOnon110 & Planning Systems, Ina 21&2015 P:1141000s1141134Pa/mOesertWode4141134mntmode1020515'XIU Table 5 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations — Studio Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Item Affordable Units Required Per 100 Market -Rate Units (A) Financing Gap per Affordable Unit [1] (B) Total In -Lieu Fee Required Per 100 Market -Rate Per Market Rate Unit' Units (C=A-B) Affordable Units - Very Low Income (50%) 4.1 $163,873 $678,298 Affordable Units - Low Income (60%) 1.1 $134,036 $153,471 Affordable Units - Low Income (80%) 2.6 $117,968 $306.101 Affordable Units - Median Income 1_3 $57,968 $74,445 Total 9.2 $1, 212, 314 [11 Subsidies are based on financing gap for rental units, as shown on Table 2. Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. (D=C/100) $12,123 Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 2162015 P:1141000s1141134PalmDesertWodel1141134mntmode/020515.xlsx Table 6 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations --1 Bedroom Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Item Affordable Units Required Per 100 Market -Rate Units (A) Financing Gap per Affordable Unit [1] (B) Total In -Lieu Fee Required Per 100 Market -Rate Per Market Rate Unit Units (C=A-B) Affordable Units - Very Low Income (50%) 5.2 $163,873 $854,638 Affordable Units - Low Income (60%) 1.3 $134,036 $176,458 Affordable Units - Low Income (80%) 3.0 $117,968 $351,532 Affordable Units - Median Income 1_4 $57,968 $82,409 Total 10.9 $1,465,036 It ] Subsidies are based on financing gap for rental units, as shown on Table 2. Source: Economic 8 Planning Systems, Inc. (D=C/100) $14,650 Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. 2/6/2015 P:1141000s1141134PalmOoser Mode11141134mntmode1020515.xlsx Table 7 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations — 2 Bedroom Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Item Affordable Units Required Per 100 Market -Rate Units (A) Financing Gap per Affordable Unit [1] (B) Total In -Lieu Fee Required Per 100 Market -Rate Per Market Rate Unit Units (C=A"B) Affordable Units - Very Low Income (50%) 5.7 $163,873 $931,400 Affordable Units - Low Income (60%) 1.4 $134,036 $185,351 Affordable Units - Low Income (80%) 3.2 $117,968 $373,284 Affordable Units - Median Income 1_5 $57,968 $87,202 Total 11.7 $1, 577, 237 o [1] Subsidies are based on financing gap for rental units, as shown on Table 2. Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. (D = C 1100) $15,772 Economic B Planning Systems, Inc 2162015 P:1141000s1141134PalmDesertlMode11141134mntmode1020515.xlsx Table 8 Maximum Impact Fee Calculations -- 3 Bedroom Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Item Affordable Units Required Per 100 Market -Rate Units Total In -Lieu Fee Required Financing Gap per Per 100 Market -Rate Per Market Rate Unit Affordable Unit [1J Units (A) (B) (C=A*B) (D=C/100) Affordable Units - Very Low Income (50%) 7.6 $163,873 $1,240,652 Affordable Units - Low Income (60%) 1.13 $134,036 $246,633 Affordable Units - Low Income (80%) 4.2 $117,968 $496,701 Affordable Units - Median Income 1_9 $57,968 $112,944 Total 15.6 $2,096,930 N [1] Subsidies are based on financing gap for rental units, as shown on Table 2. Source: Economic & Planning Systems, Inc. $20,969 Eamomic & Planning Systems, Inc 2/612015 P.i141000si141134PalmDesertwlode11141134mntmode1020515.x1sx APPENDICES: Appendix A: Household Expenditures and Employment Generation Appendix B: Income Levels for Worker Households (ell APPENDIX A: Household Expenditures and Employment Generation Table A-1 Estimated Average Annual Household Expenditures and Associated Employment Generation - Studio .......................A-1 Table A-2 Estimated Average Annual Household Expenditures and Associated Employment Generation - 1 Bedroom.................A-2 Table A-3 Estimated Average Annual Household Expenditures and Associated Employment Generation - 2 Bedroom .................A-3 Table A-4 Estimated Average Annual Household Expenditures and Associated Employment Generation - 3 Bedroom.................A-4 Table A-5 Representative Government Employment and Wages, 2013.............................................................................. 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E FE yyyy¢¢@@8ga� a. jel 38'j$J c 5§ is SE §s Y pap 99999a 3 �i f's 33 A pprcp .;6n L i0 ;- 05 ifi 3f ggf 2i i .: 2 y 6pe L waif �` ii§i 4 gi 8E 88 e� 9 Si3 i"gi° i i a g 4K� �x J a a .E a 33g 5 3 it ee a °�_z 8 a ii2f7�' ai sa ^i i i i 1l p� °gi�_Sal aae x 3 Bi A3 e # ,e z- z# e1q ea je3"A3 - a_ 1 �,Y�Y gg aE a5g4 aK a p: oF8 g 8 21 ?� i4 83 F as Table A-5 Representative Government Employment and Wages, 2013 [1] Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Govt 2013 Govt Govt Empl! Govt Employee Employment 2013 MSA 1,000 Employee 2013 Avg. HH Income 2013 Income Item [2] Total HH [3] County HH HH [4] Wage [2] [4] Category [5] Protective Service Occupations 33,990 1,297,675 26 17.3 $49,516 $83.715 Above Mod Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 3,170 1,297,675 2 1.6 $30,837 $52,135 Med Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education 2,250 1,297,675 2 1.1 $68,240 $115,372 Above Mod Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 17,170 1,297,675 13 8.7 $73,835 $124,831 Above Mod Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 5,170 1,297,675 4 2.6 $75,221 $127,174 Above Mod Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 6,370 1,297,675 5 3.2 $70,952 $119,957 Above Mod D Special Education Teachers, Preschool, Kindergarten, and Elementary School 2,280 1,297,675 2 1.2 $79,187 $133,879 Above Mod Special Education Teachers, Middle School 640 1,297,675 0 0.3 $69,495 $117,493 Above Mod Special Education Teachers, Secondary School 930 1,297,675 1 0.5 $68.281 $115,441 Above Mod Teachers and Instructors, All Other 2,610 1,297,675 2 1.3 $58,528 $98,952 Above Mod Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity, 1,020 1,297,675 1 0.5 $39,593 $66,939 Mod Bus Drivers, School 4,710 1,297,675 4 2.4 $34,959 $59.104 Mod Total 62 40.8 [1] Not a comprehensive list of government employment. Rather a sampling of government jobs for which employment is likely to be directly affected by increases in local population. [2] Government employment and wages based on 2013 Occupational Employment Statistics data for Riverside -San Bernardino -Ontario MSA. [3] Riverside -San Bemardino-Ontario MSA figure from 2013 ACS Census data. [4] Assumes 1.52 workers perworking household per 2009-2013 Census data. [5] See Table 4. Sources: 2013 Occupational Employment Statistics, CA Employment Development Department; US Census; Economic & Planning Systems, Inc Emeomi, a Rants,,, System, Inc, P/0/L015 P3141000s%141134Palmeesetlb .AI41134renfmrde10205taxlsr APPENDIX B: Income Levels for. Worker Households Table B-1 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units - Studio............................................................................ B-1 Table B-2 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units - 1 Bedroom......................................................................B-2 Table B-3 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units - 2 Bedroom......................................................................B-3 Table B-4 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units - 3 Bedroom......................................................................B-4 Table B-1 Household Generation per 1.000 Market Rate UnHs -Studio Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS #141134 Total Industry Employees HH[11 Very Law Low(60%) Low(90%) Mod Mod Above Mod Retail Unspecified Retail Food 8 Beverage Stores Food Services and Drinking Places Health and Personal Care Stores General Merchandise Furniture and Ham. Furnishings Stares Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealer Electronics and Appliance Stores Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores Motor Vehicle and Pads Dealers Gasoline Stations Sporting Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Nonstore Retailers Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation MedlcaUHealth Ambulatory Health Care Services General Medical and Surgical Hospitals Nursing and Residential Care Faaldes Social Assistance Services Personal end Household Goods Repair and Maintenance Services to Buildings and Dwellings Waste Management and Remedlabon Services Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Personal Care Services Dry Cleaning and Laundry Services Auto Repair and Maintenance Veterinary Services Photographic Services Educational Services Accounting Architecture[, Engineering, and Related Specialized Design Services Death Cam Sendces Legal SeMces Government Total HH Generated Per 1,000 Market -Rate Units %of Taral Afrordable Households Total Income -Qualified HH Generated Per 100 Market -Rate Units [2 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 17 10 0 0 10 0 0 0 49 29 29 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 4 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 7 4 0 4 0 0 0 0 4 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 6 4 0 0 4 0 0 9 6 0 0 6 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 5 0 0 0 5 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 D D 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 5 5 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 Al 2 0 4 2 3 226 139 41 11 26 13 3 1 0 0 0 0 4.1 1.1 2.6 1.3 0.3 [I] Assumes 1.69 workers per worker household based an the 2010 Census. Includes a 12.5%discount canted and 1.9%discount for other Industries to account larw rosrs under age 20. 12] Excludes above moderate -Income households because these incomes ere adequate to acquire mallet -rote housing Sours: Econormc is Planning Systems, Inc. 35 45 0 0.0 Em+vmca PlenNnp]ytleny lnc ]/Y[of9 PIfd IGWalldlf]dPebMese,nMolenldf l]MnimalsU]W14vin Table B-2 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units -1 Bedroom Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS 91411M Industry Total Employees HH III VeryLow Low(60%1 Low(aa%1 Med Mod Above Mod Retail UnspeclOed Retail 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 Food S Beverage Stores 18 11 0 0 11 0 0 a Pood Services and Drinking Places 69 35 35 0 0 0 Health and Personal Care Stores 3 2 a 0 0 0 0 General Merchandise 4 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores 3 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 a 0 0 Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealer 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 Electronics antl Appliance Stares 8 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores 4 2 2 0 0 a 0 0 Motor Vehicle and Pads Dealers 6 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 Gasoline Stations 4 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 Sporting Goods. Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores 6 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 Miscellaneous Stare Retailers 5 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 Nonstore Retailers 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Arts, Entertainment, 6 Recreation 4 3 0 0 3 0 0 a MedlealMealth Ambulatory Health Care Services 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 General Medical and Surgical Hospitals 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities 6 4 0 a 4 0 0 0 Social Assistance 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 Services Personal and Household Goods Repair and Maintenance 5 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 SeMces to Buildings and Dwellings 11 T 0 0 y 0 0 0 Waste Management and Remediation SeMces 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Personal Cara Services 6 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 Dry Cleaning and Laundry SeMces 1 1 0 a 1 0 0 0 Auto Repair and Maintenance 8 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 Veterinary SeMces 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 Photographic SeMces 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Educational Services 15 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 Accounting 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 a Architectural, Engineering, and Related 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Specialized Design Services 1 a 0 0 a 0 0 0 Death Care Senaces 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Legal Services 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Government 62 41 0 0 0 2 3 36 Total HH Generated Per 1,000 Marke114tate Units 258 158 62 13 30 14 3 36 Total income-pualiiled HH Generated Per 100 Market -Rate Untie 12) 5 1 3 1 0 0 (1) Assumes 1.59 workers per worker household based on the 2011 ALS census. Includes a 12.5%discount for retail am 1.9%discount for oilier mdustrles to account for waders under age 20. [2) Excludes show moderate-Incems households because these Incomes are adequate to acquire madel-rate housing. Source. Ecunomlc 4 Planning systems, Inc Emnem'[aflrnNnp Syffimr/na .,,a plflfeers"I alPtl ..opM111fea—easiossm }du 7 Table Ba Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rate Units-2 Bedroom Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS R141134 Industry Total Employees HH[1] Very Low Low(60%) Low(80%) Med Mod Above Mod Retail Unspecified Retail 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 Food 8 Beverage Stores 18 10 0 0 10 0 0 Food Services and Drinking Places 62 36 36 0 0 0 0 Health and Personal Care Stores 3 2 0 0 0 2 0 General Merchandise 5 3 0 3 0 0 0 Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores 3 2 0 0 0 2 0 Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealer 3 2 0 0 0 2 0 Electronics and Appliance Stores 8 5 0 5 0 0 0 Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores 5 3 3 0 0 0 0 Motor Vehicle and Pads Dealers 7 4 0 D 0 0 0 Gasoline Stations 4 2 0 2 0 0 0 SpoNng Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores 5 3 3 0 0 0 0 Miscellaneous Stare Retailers 5 3 0 3 0 0 0 Nonstore Retailers 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ads, Entertainment, B Recreation 5 3 0 0 3 0 0 MedieaVHealth Ambulatory Health Care Services 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 General Medial and Surgical Hospitals 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 Nursing and Residential Cam Facilities 7 4 0 0 4 0 0 Social Assistance 3 2 D 0 2 0 0 Seroleea Personal and Household Goods Repair and Maintenance 7 4 0 0 4 0 0 Services to Buildings and Dwellings 11 7 0 0 7 0 0 Waste Management and Remediation Services 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Personal Care Services 6 4 4 0 0 0 0 Dry Cleaning and Laundry Services 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 Auto Repair and Maintenance 8 5 0 0 0 5 0 Veterinary Services 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 Photographic Services 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Educational Services 18 11 11 0 0 0 0 Accounting 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 Architectural, Engineering, and Related i 0 0 0 0 0 0 Specialaed Design Services 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Death Co. Services 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Legal Services 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Government 62 41 0 0 0 2 3 Total HH Generated Per 1,000 Market Rate Units 272 167 57 14 32 15 3 Total Income-0uall0ed Hit Generated Per 100 Market -Rate Units 12] 6 1 3 2 0 [1]Assumes 1.69 workers per worker Household based on me 2010 Census Includes a 125%discount for mad and Le%discount for other industries to account for workers underage 20 [2] Eecludes above moderate -Income households because these Incomes are adequate to arqulm markeHmle Housing Source Economic 6 Planning Systems, Inc 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 36 U EavnoMca RannNa a)'ysma,/no }Mall %111 FI0IlaaPLmivM.fo0Mla11s'—No.svydehs. Table 8.4 Household Generation per 1,000 Market Rare Units -1 Bedroom Palm Desert Housing Impact Fee, EPS N141134 Total Industry Employees HH (1] Very Low LOw(60%) Low (8a%) Mad Mod Above Mad Retail Unspecified Retail 3 2 a 2 0 0 0 0 Food 8 Beverage Stores 24 14 0 0 14 0 0 0 Food Services and Drinking Places 93 48 48 0 0 0 0 0 Health and Personal Care Stores 4 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 General Merchandise 6 4 0 4 0 0 0 0 Furniture and Home Furnishings Stares 4 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealer 4 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 Electronics and Appliance Stares 10 6 0 6 0 0 0 0 Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores 7 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 Motor Vehlde and Pads Dealers 9 5 0 0 0 0 o a GasoOne Stations 5 3 0 3 a 0 0 0 Sporwg Goods, Hobby, and Musical Instrument Stores 7 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 Miscellaneous Store Retailers 7 4 0 4 0 0 0 0 Homilies Retailers 1 D 0 0 0 0 0 D Arts, Entertalnment, B Recreation 7 4 0 0 4 0 0 0 MedlcaUHealth Ambulatory Health Care Services 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 General Medical and Surgical Hospitals 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nursing and Residential Care Factiitea 9 6 0 0 6 0 0 0 Social Assistance 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 Services Personal and Household Goods Repair and Maintenance 9 6 0 0 6 0 0 0 Services to Buildings and Dwellings 14 9 0 0 9 0 0 0 Waste Management and Remadiahon Services 3 2 D 0 0 0 0 0 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 Personal Care Services a 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 Dry Cleaning and Laundry Services 1 1 a a 1 a 0 0 Auto Repair and Maintenance 11 7 0 0 0 7 0 0 Veterinary Services 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 Photolimphieservices 1 D 0 0 D 0 0 0 Educational Services 24 14 14 0 0 0 0 0 Accounting 3 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 Architectural, Engineering, and Related 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Specialized Design Services 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Death Care Services 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Legal Services 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Government 3 41 0 0 0 $ 3 M Total HH Generated Per 1,000 Market -Rate Units 342 209 76 .18 42 19 3 36 Total Income -Qualified HH Generated Per 100 MwImt-Rate Units [Z a 2 4 2 0 0 11] Assumes 169 worms perwod,er household based on the 2010 Census Includes a 12.5% discount for retail and 19%discount for other Indushes to account forwormes underage 20. 121 Excludes above moderate-incoms households because these Incomes are adequate to acquire rmnet-rate housing Soufre. Economic 5 Planning Simkins, line, Eronorrrca Plunnp Sy4emy trio ]/92a/9 PIHIOGaaIfa1131WbMeswM1<tlM11f l3MnfmoOefa]a919 x1u