HomeMy WebLinkAbout2010-04-22 Study Session - SCAG Prestn - SB375 v\
i CITY OF PALifi OHERT1
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`�. ; 73-510 FRED WARING DRIVE
r� PALM DESERT, CALIFORNIA 92260-2578
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'JIr,� TEL: 760 346-06ii
'*. �:' FAX: 760 340-0574
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^.. info@palm-deserr.org
NOTICE OF STUDY SESSION
OF THE
PALM DESERT CITY COUNCIL
NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that the Palm Desert City Council will convene
Thursday, April 22, 2010, at 2:00 p.m. in the Administrative Conference Room of the
Palm Desert Civic Center, 73-510 Fred Waring Drive, Palm Desert, California 92260, for
the purpose of conducting a Study Session. Said Study Session will be held in order to
receive a presentation by the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG)
regarding Senate Bill 375.
R CHELLE D. KLASSEN, CITY CLERK )
CITY OF PALM DESERT, CALIFORNIA
April 16, 2010
NO ACTIONS WILL BE TAKEN AT THE STUDY SESSION.
PURPOSE OF THE STUDY SESSION IS INFORMATION ONLY.
1
,
Michelson, Wilma \ \A\\AI.Pj
Subject: CC STUDY SESSION - SCAG PRESTN - SB375 kiVi
Location: ACR
Start: Thu 3/11/2010 2:30 PM " \. k-Ad
End: Thu 3/11/2010 3:00 PM \
Pi
Show Time As: Tentative \,,
Recurrence: (none) P\A, \A
Meeting Status: Not yet responded
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Organizer: Klassen, Rachelle
Required Attendees: -Administrative Conference Room; hallMail; Alv�fez, Martin; A an, S ; Ay aian, Lauri;
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Bagato, Tony; Carney, Lori; Chen, Bo; Gibson, Paul; Gomez, Donn . an e, Russell;
Greenwood, Mark; Hermann, David; Kneiding, Kristy; Mc C rthy, tin; Moore, Janet; Moore,
Ruth Ann; Ponder, Hart; Riddle, Frankie; Schwartz, Debora ; o Im th, John
Optional Attendees: Michelson, Wilma
When:Thursday, March 11, 2010 2:30 PM-3:00 PM (GMT-08:00) Pacific Time ( Canada). 04
Where: ACR
Note:The GMT offset above does not reflect daylight saving time adjustments.
(T TENTATIVE Study Session scheduled.
Rachelle
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SB 375, or what does the future look like?
P Sharon Neely
Interim Deputy Executive Director
SCAG
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SSOCIATIOM of
What is SB 375? N ‘\
• Intends to implement a small portion of AB 32 �• i
• Achieve specified GHG emission reduction
target
• Integrate transportation, land use and housing
planning
• Develop a SCS, and include in RTP
• Requires RHNA to be consistent with SCS
1
Climate Change Legislation — AB 32
• Signed into law in 2006, requiring CA to reduce
GHG emissions to 1990 levels by 2020
• Our existing policies need to be adjusted in order to
meet the target and reduce GHGs
• Small changes have big impacts
,ter `ESTIMATED SCAG
ALLOCATION
i.1 SNARLY
EQUIVALENT TO
THE EMISSIONS
1990 2000 nig 2020 OF 450,000 CARS IN
ONE YEAR
Components of an SCS
• Includes these three
related strategy
approaches
— Land use planning
— Transportation
policies
LAND USE&TRANSPORTATION PLANNING
— Transportation
investments
TRANSPORTATION INVESTMENTS
TRANSPORTATION POLICIES
2
1
r
Components of an SCS
• Land Use Planning
• Transportation Investments
• Other Transportation Policies
• Economic Development
SB 375 Timeline
le 2010 2012
40,
,,,- :„ _, ,, ,,,,,,,, I. : „.
, .
tti 4n 64
iesearch&`Analysis 'SCAGFeccives RC Adopts RTP
Trr other)CARaik
a
fil t :-,,,1 ejt.
E iril ., a f v
Regional[Subregional Submit SCS
Development of Draft to the State
SCS or APS
I, N
do;,
er `t RiP CARD Decision
y on SCS
3
Southern California Will Add 4.0 Million
More People From 2010-2035
SCAG 6-County Region, 2010-2035
4
3,985,000
I
I �
1 930 000
1 438 000
372 000
112,000` 13� ft _
Imperial Ventura Co. Orange Co. Los Angeles Inland Empire SCAG Area
Source: SCAG,Local Input/General Plan Growth Forecast,March 2010
Where Is Population Growth
Coming From
10..0%
Sorttti n a rirry a of I 2,155,961
Population Crc'wtil, ,.0i,t, ,tk4.,':�
69.2%
1,491,022
30.8%
664,939
Births(less)Deaths Domestic&Foreign Migration Total Increase
Source: State of California,Department of Finance,County Population Estimates and Components of Change by Year
4
Southern California Will Add 2.3
Million More Jobs From 2010-2035
Job Forecast
SCAG 6-County Region, 2010-2035
2 278 000
1,091,000
I I
� I
768,000
257 000 I
66� 95,000
Imperial Ventura Co. Orange Co. Los Angeles Inland Empire SCAG Area
Source: SCAG,Local Input/General Plan Growth Forecast,March 2010
Population &
Employment
Growth
Population&Employment Growth ,
(millions) •
SCAG Region •L .i
2010 2035 r
Population 19.0 23.0 it..1
Employment 7.5 9.7
"Like adding two cities the size
inland Empire of Chicago to Southern California
2010 2035 between 2000&2035"
Population 4.3 6.3
Employment 1.3 2.3
Riverside County
2010 2035 ' 'b
Population 2.2 3.4 •t' r
Employment 0.6 1.2
Source:SCAG,Local Input/General Plan Growth Forecast,March 2010
5
We Need A Discussion
Where Will The People Go?
Where Will The Jobs Go?
How Will We Move Around?
Will We Be Able To Breathe?
Some Background Info
6
Huge Shift in Ages of the
Population: SCAG Region
2010 65+
alb
5.9 M 11.2 M 2.0M
31% 59% 11%
1.1111111
2035 111
65+
6.6 M 12.6 M 3.8 M
29% 55% 17%
Percentages do not add to 100%due to rounding
Source: SCAG,Local Input/General Plan Growth Forecast,March 2010
Huge Shift in Ages of the
Population: Riverside County
2010
718,000 1,214,000 272,000
33% 55% 12%
�111I��
2035
65+
1,034,000 1,771,000 614,000
30% 52% 18%
Source: SCAG,Local Input/General Plan Growth Forecast,March 2010
7
"Traditional" Households
on the Wane
Household Type 1960 2000 2005 2040
HH with Children 48% 33% 32% 27%
HH without Children 52% 67% 68% 73%
Single-Person HH 13% 26% 31% 34%
Source: Dr.Arthur C. Nelson, Presidential Professor& Director of
Metropolitan Research, University of Utah.
Housing Unit Distribution, National
Preference and Existing
National Preference Existing
Unit Type Total Share Region SB County
Attached 38% 42% 23%
Apartments 14% 37%
Condos, Coops 9%* 24%
Townhouses 15% 39%
Detached 62% 58% 77%
Small Lot (<7,000sf) 37% 60%
Large Lot (>7,000sf) 25% 40%
Sources:National preference based on a low range of surveys reviewed by Arthur C.Nelson"Leadership in a New Era,"
Journal of the American Planning Association,Fall 2006,existing per California Department of Finance,2009
"Toll Brothers shifting product mix to 15%condominium;WSJ 12/06
8
Average Annual Rates of Buying and Selling
Y 9
Per 100 People of Each Age in California
0 9.0
3 8.0
a 7.0
0 6.0
8 5a. .0
Buy
4.0
To 3.0
m
2.0
T 1.0 Sell
m' 0.0
N N el fh V V CD CD n
O a) O a) O a) O a) O u7 O a) cO
CV CV M ClV V (D CD
Age
Source:Myers(2007)Immigrants and Boomers,Figure 11.1
Southern California Is Not Well
Educated
High School or Less
Share of Population,25& Over
58.0%
48.5% 47.8% 45.5% °
42.6/o
37.1% 35.7% 34.0%
to —
m cs o
N U N f9 C a)m a�i> rn U m 0
E cA c o a) O c
co� tY Q (A
Source:American Community Survey,2008
9
World Oil Demand is Certain : UP!
World Marketed Energy Use by Fuel Type, 1980-2030
800
■Renewables
700 - 0 Nuclear
600 I O Coal
■Natural Gas
• 500 - ■Liquid Fuels '
0
• 400 -
a
3 300
200
too ._
0
O )0 O tC) O ,n O U) O 00) 0
CO CO m m O O .-- N N C)
m m m CD CD O CD CD CD O
N N N N N N
I
Year
Sources:History:EIA International Energy Annual 2006(June-December 2008).Projections:EIA,
World Energy Projections Plus(2009)
Higher Gasoline Prices Impact
Retail Spending
Gasoline Price and Driving Costs How Gas Price Impact Retail Spending
U.000 $50 0.5%
L.fi00 ���• ,n aw Y�Y��a�►� w
U.S X M _-
N.000 I -o- . motes . ENEIrU.5 ■0,000 ■----
-E ■ >_%■ ■r—mwmil
--_111. .U.0 Jfl%. B ., ,MRE_
s. ■ ® ■l ® :: E■ ■ s% ■■ i■ IN II ■
00 • •• •• ■• •f0.0 u10.less C,A vflS,and Dinky out less SpeSW.g less s D.Yrwp
.b,2002 Jm M00 .)n 10M JWrxa T,n4 vialnn0 pooh..
• A household will spend over$4,000 to drive for one year, more than double
the driving costs in 2006.
• The increase in gas prices since 2006 has cost U.S. drivers more than $360
billion per year in driving costs.
• Economists estimate that nationally,for every one cent increase in gasoline
price, spending in other areas will decline by one billion dollars.
10
Our Transportation Has Raised
Cancer & Asthma Risks
NORM
5,3 10 330 330 370 390 410 430 431 470 490 310
I I ( 1 I 1 ! I t 3810
'41
40- (11141611111
:.•' _ 1.e; 3no
ri 30- .ka 37�0 6
144:1115L41 -11
to- -3710
PACIFIC OCEA _� • -
0 1tttiittlf Iiltltiil l tt tttt i t�ti Ittu t1111t iitttttlltittt�tilitt tt�ii �t1�iil itttti ttlltttttltt�� 3690
0 10 20 30 40 30 60 70tt 60 90 100
SOUTH
Cancers per million...
Source:SCAQMD,Multiple Air Toxics Exposure Study II,March 2000 '9. `2
00 `t70 Too 4'0 'o$0 �,
Conclusion
• SCAG is not interfering with individual city General
Plan decisions
• By law, SCAG must prepare a plan for ARB by 2012
that shows the greenhouse gas reduction goal would
be met by 2020
• SCAG is attempting to share with cities the impacts of
best practices from 80 voluntary city Compass
projects to date and the positive greenhouse gas
reduction effects
11
Next Steps
p
• May 2010: strategy update to be presented at General
Assembly
• June 2010: ARB releases draft target
• September 2010: ARB finalizes target for SCAG
region
• 2011 : Numerous workshops planned to review draft
ARB plan
• By 2012: SCAG develops a plan to comply with ARB
target which will incorporate city and subregional input
III
12
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
ASSOCIATION Of GOVERNMENTS
' www.scag.ca.gov/ga2010
2010 SCAG REGIONAL CONFERENCE & GENERAL ASSEMBLY
Moving Forward — Planning Together
May 5 — 7 at the La Quinta Resort & Club
Why You Should Attend
You will:
» Have an opportunity to discuss with the senior advisors of the gubernatorial candidates issues
that directly affect you —transportation, environment, local government finance and business
» Enjoy a special video message from United States Senator Barbara Boxer and keynote address
from the Speaker of the California State Assembly, Assemblyman John Perez*
» Have a discussion with experts on the initiatives appearing on the California Ballot this fall
and find out how they will affect your cities, businesses and organizations
» Network with hundreds of elected officials, the CEOs from six transportation commissions
and business and regional leaders from almost every city in Southern California
» Participate in the annual Compass Blueprint Awards dinner honoring municipalities and/or
developers of projects that demonstrate excellence and achievement in the four key elements
of Compass Blueprint planning: livability, mobility, prosperity and sustainability
» Experience a day of break-out sessions and panels dealing with California's Transportation,
Housing and Economic issues as part of SCAG's partnership with the USC/Los Angeles Times
"Fixing California" series
» Actively participate in a presentation and discussion on Greenhouse Gas Reduction Targets:
What Does it Really Mean for My Community? This SB 375 target will affect everyone in our entire
region — elected officials, businesses, cities. You don't want to miss this!
only at the 2010 SCAG REGIONAL CONFERENCE & GENERAL ASSEMBLY
May 5 — 7 at the La Quinta Resort & Club in La Quinta, California
All of this for $100. If you're a Regional Council Member or General Assembly Delegate, there
is no charge!
For more information, please contact Linda Jones at (213) 236-1912 or jonesl@scag.ca.gov.
For more information on the General Assembly visit www.scag.ca.gov/ga2010. To secure
your place, please register online and send payment by April 30, 2010.
*Invited
ciiiiiie;'
-Please See Tentative Agenda on Back- �-'9 ,.4 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
ASSOCIATION of GOVERNMENTS
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
ASSOCIATION of GOVERNN._._ rS
www.scag.ca.gov/ga2010
2010 SCAG REGIONAL CONFERENCE & GENERAL ASSEMBLY
Moving Forward — Planning Together
May 5 — 7 at the La Quinta Resort & Club
Tentative Agenda
Wednesday, May 5th Thursday, May 6th
USC, THE LOS ANGELES TIMES AND SCAG PRESENT REGIONAL COUNCIL AND GENERAL ASSEMBLY
FIXING CALIFORNIA: JOBS,TRANSPORTATION AND 8:00-9:00 Registration and Continental Breakfast
HOUSING SESSION
'Fixing California'is a six-part,yearlong series led by USC in 9:00-10:00 Panel IV—2010 Ballot Initiatives
partnership with the Los Angeles Times and SCAG to develop Moderator: Larry McCallon, SCAG
key policy solutions for California's next Governor. 10:00-11:00 Regional Council
9:00-10:30 Registration and Continental Breakfast 11:00-12:00 General Assembly—Including President's
10:30-11:00 Opening Remarks—Jon Edney, SCAG President Speech and video of SCAG's Year in Review
11:00-12:00 Panel I —Jobs and the Economy 12:00-1:30 Luncheon—California Speaker of the
Assembly, John Perez*
Panelists will focus on job creation and economic
recovery and will take questions from elected 1:30-2:30 Presentation to Joint Policy Committee
officials, business leaders and City Managers. Meeting
Moderator: Dan Schnur, USC SCAG elected officials will hold a joint meeting
with stakeholders to discuss next steps in SB 375
12:00-1:15 Luncheon—Meet Policy Advisors to the implementation.
Leading Gubernatorial Candidates
2:30-4:30 Greenhouse Gas Reduction Targets: What
Representatives of the campaigns will discuss Does it Really Mean for My Community?
the housing and transportation platforms of the
candidates and field questions from the audience. Joint Policy Committee members and
stakeholders will discuss regional greenhouse gas
1:30-3:00 Panel II — Housing targets, potential growth scenarios and the future
Panelists will discuss the future of California's of livability for Southern California's communities.
housing market and will take questions from
Recap by Larry McCallon, SCAG's
elected officials, business leaders and City Incoming President
Managers.
4:30-5:30 Reception
Moderator: Dan Schnur, USC
3:15-5:00 Panel III —Transportation
Introduction video from US Senator Friday, May 7th
Barbara Boxer REGIONAL COUNCIL RETREAT
Panelists will discuss the state budget and
pending federal five-year transportation funding 7:30-8:00 Breakfast
legislation.Topics include goods movement, 8:00-9:00 CA Senator Bob Dutton*
excise taxes and other proposed solutions for 9:00-11:30 Retreat Session for the Regional Council
achieving Southern California's fair share of
transportation funding.
Moderator: Dan Schnur, USC
5:00-6:00 Reception
6:00-7:30 Compass Blueprint Awards Dinner
*invited
2277 0420.10