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HomeMy WebLinkAbout06C Investment Report - Sept 2011City of Palm Desert City and Redevelopment Agency Portfolios COMPLIANCE ANALYSIS AND INVESTMENT REPORT September 30, 2011 Paul S. Gibson, C.C.M.T., Treasurer Thomas W. Jeffrey, J.D., M.B.A., Deputy City Treasurer Treasurer's Commentary "The world is facing the worst financial crisis since at least the 1930s, if not ever." Sir Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank of England. A Greek debt default is expected within 6-12 months, if not sooner. Italian, Spanish, Portuguese, and Irish banks hold most of the Greek sovereign debt outside of Greece. A "disorderly" Greek default could lead to cascading defaults in the PIIGS countries, and bank runs throughout Europe. The situation is further compounded by the difficulty that European banks are experiencing in raising capital through interbank lending and bond sales. Dexia, a large Franco-Belgian bank, for example, is on the verge of failing due to liquidity issues. To buy time, the Eurozone will reportedly provide the Greeks with a $10.8 billion "rescue" loan after October 24, in order to keep them afloat. The Franco-German strategy is to postpone a Greek default as long as possible so that France and Germany can recapitalize their banks, and remove Greek debt from the books of those banks. Eventually, Greece's credit line will be cut off, in the hope that Greece will abandon the Euro. The European Financial Stability Facility will then be used to manage the fallout from a Greek departure. Goldman Sachs is forecasting that Europe could fall into recession by winter, pushing the U.S. economy to "the edge of recession" by early 2012. U.S. economic growth is forecast at 1.7% for 2011, and 1.4% for 2012. While U.S. money market funds have, for the most part, pulled out of Europe, the exposure of U.S. commercial banks to Europe is unknown. If the European banking system were to collapse, then the U.S. Dollar should strengthen, and U.S. Treasury yields should plummet, due to a "flight -to -safety." The U.S. and Chinese economies are heavily dependent on exporting goods to Europe. )9a"bs C. C. R. 7- City Treasurer PORTFOLIO STATISTICS Dollars in Thousands SEP-11 AUG-11 JUL-11 JUN-11 MAY-11 APRAI CITY Month -End Book Value*** $ 205,053 $ 206,655 $ 207,383 $ 223,281 $ 219,682 $ 198,991 Month -End Market Value*** $ 205,075 $ 206,683 $ 207,415 $ 223,342 $ 219,780 $ 199,115 Paper Gain (Loss) $ 22 $ 28 $ 32 $ 61 $ 98 $ 124 Prior Year Book Variance $ 9,325 $ 382 $ 9,505 $ 21,349 $ 17,899 $ 48 Interest Earnings 80 91 122 131 125 109 Yield -To -Maturity 0.49% 0.49% 0.67% 0.72% 0.71 % 0.76% Weighted Maturity (Days) 23 22 77 79 81 89 Effective Duration 0.24 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 RDA Month -End Book Value *** $ 233,808 $ 240,274 $ 247,803 $ 236,903 $ 241,394 $ 225,883 Month -End Market Value *** $ 234,021 $ 240,529 $ 248,063 $ 237,195 $ 241,718 $ 225,653 Paper Gain (Loss) $ 213 $ 255 $ 260 $ 292 $ 324 $ (230) Prior Year Book Variance $ (24,091) $ (36,071) $ (50,709) $ (65,660) $ (58,327) $ (59,452) Interest Earnings 111 117 114 122 120 167 Yield -To -Maturity 0.56% 0.58% 0.56% 0.63% 0.62% 0.73% Weighted Maturity (Days) 221 215 208 218 228 257 Effective Duration 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.31 0.32 0.39 *** Omits SLGSs. Dollars in Thousands Aaeina Interval <1M < 2M < 3M < 6M < 1 YR < 2YR < 3YR < 4YR < 5YR > 5YR Total: Ratings AAA AA A Unrated ** Total: Sector MMF Agencies MTNs CAMP LAIF County Pool Rabobank RDA Loan LAIF/Bond Proceeds Total: City of Palm Desert -- Portfolio Characteristics September 30, 2011 Market Value $ 157,381 3,025 $ 160,406 Market Value $ 171,649 27,920 $ 199,569 Market Value $ 5,329 6,022 5,082 14,365 80,095 49,823 13,555 25,298 $ 199,569 i General Fund Ageing 100 98 ..._.. 80 60 0 40 a 20 - 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0j 0 <1M <2M <3M <6M <1YR<2YR<3YR14YR<5YR15YR /Fc-redit Quality A 0% Unrated ** 14% AAA :)86% AA 0% Asset Allocation MTNs 0% County Poc 40% Rabobank 25% LAIF 7% Agencies �'` ° RDA Loan 3 /GAMP 7% 2% MMF LAIF/Bond 3% Proceeds 13% j Month Citv Yield LAIF Yield Variance Performance Oct10 0.78 0.48 0.30 Nov 0.75 0.45 0.30 0.8 Dec 0.72 0.46 0.26 _ Jan11 0.66 0.54 0.12 0.6 - a Feb 0.56 0.51 0.05 o Mar 0.54 0.50 0.04 0.4 Apr 0.76 0.59 0.17 a r May 0.71 0.41 0.30 0.2 Jun 0.72 0.45 0.27 Jul 0.67 0.38 0.29 0.0 Aug 0.49 0.41 0.08 ; OctlONov DecJanll Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugTSep Sep 0.49 0.41 0.08 c * Standard and Poors ** LAIF, and City Loan to RDA Page 2 Palm Desert Redevelopment Agency -- Portfolio Characteristics September 30, 2011 Dollars in Thousands Aueina Interval Market Value < 1 M $ 56,348 < 2M 9,018 < 3M 6,029 < 6M _ < 1YR 16,248 < 2YR 7,522 < 3YR _ < 4YR _ < 5YR _ > 5YR 2,790 Total: $ 97,955 ualit Market Value AAA $ 95,265 AA 6,634 A _ Unrated 130,834 Total: $ 232,733 Sector Market Value MMF $ 15,711 Agencies 32,118 MTNs 6,634 CAMP 110 County Pool 7,504 Rabobank 39,821 LAIF 8,668 EIP 2,790 LAIF/Bond Proceeds 119,377 Total: $ 232,733 Month RDA Yield LAIF Yield Oct10 0.60 0.48 Nov 0.59 0.45 Dec 0.60 0.46 Jan11 0.68 0.54 Feb 0.71 0.51 Mar 0.61 0.50 Apr 0.73 0.59 May 0.62 0.41 Jun 0.63 0.45 Jul 0.67 0.38 Aug 0.58 0.41 Sep 0.56 0.41 Portfolio Ageing w/o SLGSs 0 w 0 a Credit Qua, It-YA j Asset Allocation 100 _..__._.. _..__..._.. _ ._ _ ...._........... _...... __.. _ ..- 80 58 60 - i 40 17 20 g 33 6 I 0-=�-Q -Q- --1 0 0 01 C I <1M <21V! <3M <6M <1YR<2YR<3YR<4YR<5YR >5YR AA A 3% 0% AAA Unrated ** 41 % 56% Rabobank County Pool 17% LAIF 3% 4% EIP MTNs 1 3% Agencies 14% MMF LAIF/Bond 7% Proceeds 51% CAMP 0% Variance Performance 0.12 0.14 0.8 0.14 0.14 0.6 0.20 0.11 a 0.4 0.14 0.21 0.2 0.18 0.0 - T 029 OWONov DecJanilFeb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 0.17 0.15 I ®LA)FYie)d ORDAYield " Standard and Poors * LAIF Page 3 i STATEMENT OF COMPLIANCE The investment portfolios of the City of Palm Desert ("City") and the Palm Desert Redevelopment Agency ("RDA") are governed by federal, state, and local law. The City Treasurer's "Statement of Investment Policy" is more restrictive than the California Government Code. The Palm Desert Audit, Investment, and Finance Committee and the Palm Desert City Council review the Statement of Investment Policy annually. For the month ended September 30, 2011, the City and the RDA investment portfolios were in compliance with all applicable federal, state, and local laws and regulations. The City Treasury continued to pursue conservative and prudent investment strategies, based upon the stated objectives of safety, liquidity, and yield (in order of priority). Barring unforeseen events, the City Treasury should have sufficient cash to finance the operations of the City of Palm Desert and the Palm Desert Redevelopment Agency over the next six months. In addition, portions of either the City or the RDA portfolio could be liquidated in order to meet any significant, unexpected cash requirements. Interactive Data Corporation provided the data that was used to calculate the market value of all securities in the City and the RDA investment portfolios. State and Local Government Series securities are held in escrow accounts, and are therefore not included in this report as assets. All balances are bank balances. Respectfully Submitted on October 25, 2011, Pis �7dV�, c.C..M r City Treasurer SUMMARY OF AUTHORIZED INVESTMENTS I California Government Code I City Investment Policy CA Govt Maximum Maximum Quality Maximum Maximum Quality % of City % of RDA Code Investment Category Maturity Limit S&P/Mdys Maturity Limit S&P/Mdys Portfolio Portfolio 53601(a) Palm Desert Bonds 5 Years No Limit - 1.2% 53632(c) Savings Accounts No Limit No Limit No Limit No Limit I 25.0% 17.1% 53601(b) U.S. Treasuries 5 Years No Limit 5 Years No Limit - - 53601(c) CA State Debt 5 Years No Limit Not Authorized 53601(d) CA Local Agency Debt 5 Years No Limit Not Authorized 53601(e) Federal Agencies 5 Years No Limit 5 Years 30% 6% 3.0% 13.7% 53601(f) Bankers's Acceptances 180 Days 40% 180 Days 40% A-1 & P-1 - - 53601(g) Commercial Paper 270 Days 25% A-1+ or P-1 270 Days 25% A-1+ or P-1 - - 53601(h) Negotiable CDs 5 Years 30% 5 Years 30% AA- or Aa3 - - 53601(i) Repos 1 Year No Limit 30 Days 20% AAA & Aaa - - 53601(I) Reverse Repos 92 Days 20% Not Authorized 53601(j) Medium -Term Notes 5 Years 0 30% A 5 Years 120% 0/o 30 A IAAA&Aaal 0 0/0 28 0/o 0.. 53601(k) Mutual Funds 90 Days 20% AAA & Aaa 90 Days (2) 2.7% 6.8% 53601(I) Trust Indenture Debt Not Authorized 53601(m) Secured Bank Deposits 5 Years No Limit Not Authorized 53601(k) Local Government AAA & Aaa I I AAA & Aaa I I Investment Pools 90 Days 20% or Advisor 90 Days 20% (2) or Advisor 42.70/4. 3.3% 53601(n) Mortgage -Backed 5 Years 20% A (Issuer) & Not Authorized Securities AA (Security) 16429.1(b) LAIF No Limit No Limit ( I 19.9% 55.1% (1) The City loan to RDA, which is not a bond, has been approved by the Palm Desert City Council. 93.2% 100.0% (2) The City Energy Independence Program has been approved by the Palm Desert City Council. (3) Maximum limit for mutual funds and local government investment pools, excluding bond proceeds. 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