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HomeMy WebLinkAbout65545 (2)2013 ECONOMIC COMMENTARY City of Palm Desert ���«��«�c��� � C��r�<-��fi>r{��lf �����xf .���; ��r� , ital Markets Team The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet next on September 17-18. Many economists believe that the FOMC will announce a scaling back of its $85 billion-a-month bond-buying program, which has supported markets and key parts of the U.S. economy. This decision will be made against a backdrop of rising interest rates; the Syrian conflict; and a federal budget showdown. Janet Yellen is now the front-runner to replace Ben Bernanke, and lead the FOMC. She is seen as continuing the "easy money" programs that she helped craft. Some economists are concerned that the FOMC will eventually lose control of interest rates as a"great rotation" out of bonds into equities occurs, with interest rates rising rapidly. Second-quarter economic numbers numbers were substantially revised, with GDP estimated at 2.5%, not the earlier 1.7%. This reflected strong exports, higher corporate profits, and increased consumer spending due to a perceived rebound in housing. The U.S. housing market is beginning to cool, however, as higher prices and rising mortgage rates slow demand. The U.S. auto market had a strong showing with new car sales at a level not seen since 2007. This reflected a release of pent-up demand, with trade-in vehictes averaging about 11 years old. The labor force participation rate, the number of adults in the labor force, fell to 63.2%, however, the lowest level since the Carter Administration. .r�s ��, e.e..�.��: � City Treasurer ' Certified California Municipal Treasurer PORTFOLIO STATISTICS Thousands of Dollars Month-End Book Value Month-End Market Value Paper Gain (Loss) Prior Year Book Variance Interest Earnings 'Yield-To-Maturity Weighted Maturity (Days) Effective Duration $ $ $ $ $ 220,313 $ 220,319 $ 6 $ 13,559 $ 59 $ 0.31 % 12 0.00 220,370 $ 220,373 $ 3 $ 14,565 $ 59 $ 0.32% 26 0.00 218,688 $ 218,697 $ 9 $ 1,885 $ 57 $ 0.32% 26 0.01 City Treasurer Paui S. Gibson, C.C.M.T. Deputy City Treasurer Thomas W. Jeffrey, J.D., M.B.A. 209,809 $ 209,821 $ 12 $ (8,277) $ 53 $ 0.32% 29 0.01 Investment Objectives The treasurer shall invest all public monies in a manner that ensures safety of principal; sufficient liquidity to finance the City's expenditures; and the highest yield possible after the previous two objectives have been met. 199,761 $ 199,776 $ 15 $ (10,437) $ 53 $ 0.33°/a 29 0.01 197,943 197,962 19 (12,660) 56 0.34% 29 0.02 All data as of August 31, 2013