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HomeMy WebLinkAboutPalm Desert Forum 20200212 v1City of Tulare 2011 Redistricting Palm DesertPart I: Introduction to Districting February 12, 2020 Election Systems “At Large” “From District” or “Residence” Districts “By District” The California Voting Rights Act was written to specifically encourage by-district elections. February 12, 2020 California Voting Rights Act (CVRA) Under the Federal Voting Rights Act (passed in 1965), a jurisdiction must fail 4 factual tests before it is in violation of the law. The California VRA makes it significantly easier for plaintiffs to force jurisdictions into “by-district” election systems by eliminating two of the US Supreme Court Gingles tests: Can the protected class constitute the majority of a district? Does the protected class vote as a bloc? Do the voters who are not in the protected class vote in a bloc to defeat the preferred candidates of the protected class? Do the “totality of circumstances” indicate race is a factor in elections? Liability is now determined only by the presence of racially polarized voting February 12, 2020 CVRA Impact Switched (or in the process of switching) as a result of CVRA: At least 215 school districts 34 Community College Districts 126 cities 1 County Board of Supervisors 35 water and other special districts. Cases So Far: Palmdale, Santa Clara and Santa Monica went to trial on the merits. Palmdale and Santa Clara lost. Santa Monica is awaiting a decision. Modesto and Palmdale each spent about $1.8 million on their defense (in addition to the attorney fee awards in those cases). Santa Monica has spent an estimated $6 to $8 million so far. Plaintiff has requested $22 million in fees. Key settlements: Palmdale: $4.7 million Modesto: $3 million Highland: $1.3 million Anaheim: $1.1 million Whittier: $1 million Santa Barbara: $600,000 Tulare Hospital: $500,000 Compton Unified: $200,000 Madera Unified: about $170,000 Hanford Joint Union Schools: $118,000 Merced City: $42,000 An estimated $16 million in total settlements and court awards so far. February 12, 2020 Inland Empire Impact The Inland Empire has been particularly hard-hit by CVRA challenges. February 12, 2020 Districting Process Event & Date Description Community Forums: Jan. 15 and Feb. 12 Discuss transition, criteria, process and mapping tools Two Initial Hearings: Feb. 13 and 27 Held prior to release of draft maps. Education and to solicit input on the communities in the District. Initial Map Deadline: Friday, Feb. 28 Last day for residents to submit initial draft maps. Release Draft Maps: March 5 Maps must be posted online at least 7 days prior to 3rd hearing. Draft Map Hearing: March 12 First of two Council hearings to discuss and revise the draft maps and to discuss the election sequence. Final Map Deadline: Friday, March 13 Last day for residents to submit maps for Council consideration Maps Posted: March 19th Maps must be posted online at least 7 days prior to 4th hearing. Map Hearing: March 26 Second of two Council hearings to discuss and select a map and to discuss and select the election sequence. Introduction of ordinance. Final Adoption: April 16 Fifth hearing and second reading of ordinance. November 3, 2020 First by-district election for Central District and two seats in District 2 2021 Map updated to reflect 2020 Census Data November 2022 First by-district election for remaining two seats in District 2 February 12, 2020 Districting Rules and Goals 3. Other Traditional Redistricting Principles 1. Federal Laws 2. California Criteria for Cities * Geographically contiguous Undivided neighborhoods and “communities of interest” (Socio-economic geographic areas that should be kept together) Easily identifiable boundaries Compact(Do not bypass one group of people to get to a more distant group of people) Respect voters’ choices / continuity in office Future population growth Equal Population Federal Voting Rights Act No Racial Gerrymandering * New California Elections Code Sec. 21601(c) and 21621(c) rules for all maps adopted starting January 1, 2020 February 12, 2020 Demographic Summary The single-member Central District (District 1) needs about 9,689 residents. The four-member District 2 needs about 38,756 residents (four times District 1). Sources: 2010 Census, California Statewide Database (2016 and 2018 November elections), 2013-2017 American Community Survey Special Tabulation of Citizen Voting Age data, and 2013-2017 American Community Survey data. "Latino" registration and turnout numbers are Spanish-surnamed data adjusted with US Census Population Division's California adjustment factor. February 12, 2020 Latino Population Latinos are particularly concentrated in the center of the city, between Hwy 111 and Castellana. February 12, 2020 Palm DesertSettlement City agreed to implement a two-district solution, with Ranked Choice Voting One center-City district elects one Councilmember every four years, starting in 2020 The rest of the City is in a second district that elects four Councilmembers (two each election year) February 12, 2020 Defining Communities of Interest 1st Question: what is your neighborhood or community of interest? A Community of Interest is generally defined as a neighborhood or community of shared interests, views, problems, or characteristics. Possible community feature/boundary definitions include: School attendance areas Natural neighborhood dividing lines, such as highway or major roads, rivers, canals, and/or hills Areas around parks and other neighborhood landmarks Common issues, neighborhood activities, or legislative/election concerns Shared demographic characteristics Such as similar levels of income, education, or linguistic isolation 2nd Question: Should a given Community of Interest be united in one district, or would it benefit from multiple representatives? February 12, 2020 Identifying Communities of Interest We want to hear from you: What do you consider the central neighborhoods and/or communities of interest that should be kept together in the Central District? February 12, 2020 Any questions about the material covered so far? Looking at the maps on the tables, what do you see as the neighborhoods and communities of interest? Remember, the second district needs a way to connect the north and south around the Central District. Table Discussions February 12, 2020 Palm DesertPart II: Optional Mapping Tools February 12, 2020 Public Mapping Tools Whether you use the powerful (but complicated) online mapping tool, Excel, the paper kit, or just draw on a napkin, we welcome your maps! These tools are designed as ways to empower residents. There is no requirement to use them. February 12, 2020 https://ndcresearch.maps.arcgis.com/apps/View/index.html?appid=b71ef25ab6d24af0b0516b8ae9d51e95 Interactive Map One-Page Mapping Kit Very simple tool: Draw your lines, add up the population counts, and submit your map. You may divide a population unit, as long as you follow streets as your border. Census Block by Census Block population counts are available as an option in the interactive map. February 12, 2020 https://ndcresearch.maps.arcgis.com/apps/View/index.html?appid=b71ef25ab6d24af0b0516b8ae9d51e95 Interactive Map Using the Excel tool Enter the district assignment in the highlighted column, and Excel will calculate the resulting demographic changes. Be careful: non-contiguous pieces are a common mistake when using the Excel kit. February 12, 2020 https://inzolia.caliper.com/PalmDesert/ https://inzolia.caliper.com/PalmDesert/ Using the online tool 1 1: Create a username and password, then log in 2: Use “Tips” to learn about the different parts of the system 3: Check your finished map for non-contiguous or unassigned areas 4: “Share” your map with others and “Submit” your map when finished 2 4 3 Show Excel file Show interactive map District Population Deviation % Deviation % Hispanic Origin % NH_Wht % NH_DOJ_Blk % NH_DOJ_Asn % 18+_Pop % H18+_Pop % NH18+_Wht % NH18+_DOJ_Blk % NH18+_DOJ_Asn % st_0812_m2_totbydisagg % st_0812_m2_h % st_0812_m2_nhw % st_0812_m2_nhb % st_0812_m2_nha % g12_reg_tot % g12_reg_hisp % g12_reg_asn % g12_reg_fil % g12_voters_tot % g12_voters_hisp % g12_voters_asn % g12_voters_fil % blk_age0_19 % blk_age20_60 % blk_age60plus % blk_age65plus % blk_china % blk_filip % blk_japan % blk_korea % blk_viet % blk_mex % blk_arab % blk_bornus % blk_immigrant % blk_cit % blk_noncit % blk_english % blk_spanish % blk_asian_lang % blk_other_lang % blk_eng_nvw % blk_nohsdeg % blk_hs_grad % blk_bachelor % blk_graddegree % blk_inschoolprek % blk_inschoolk12 % blk_inschoolcollege % blk_employed % blk_veteran % blk_drivealone % blk_carpool % blk_pubtrans % blk_walk % blk_workathome % blk_workprimsec % blk_workconstruct % blk_workmanuf % blk_workwhole % blk_workretail % blk_worktrans % blk_workinfo % blk_workfinance % blk_workprofadmin % blk_workeduchealth % blk_workartsfood % blk_workothnongov % blk_workgov % blk_child % blk_married % blk_separated % blk_divorced % blk_widowed % blk_nevermarried % blk_hhinc0_25k % blk_hhinc25_50k % blk_hhinc50_75k % blk_hhinc75_200k % blk_hhinc200k_plus % blk_faminc0_25k % blk_faminc25_50k % blk_faminc50_75k % blk_faminc75_200k % blk_faminc200k_plus % blk_vacant % blk_occupied % blk_rented % blk_owned % blk_singlefamily % blk_multifamily Hispanic Origin NH_Wht NH_DOJ_Blk NH_DOJ_Ind NH_DOJ_Asn NH_DOJ_Hwn NH_DOJ_Oth NH_DOJ_OthMR 18+_Pop H18+_Pop NH18+_Wht NH18+_DOJ_Blk NH18+_DOJ_Ind NH18+_DOJ_Asn NH18+_DOJ_Hwn NH18+_DOJ_Oth NH18+_DOJ_OthMR st_0812_m2_totbydisagg st_0812_m2_h st_0812_m2_nhw st_0812_m2_nhb st_0812_m2_nhi st_0812_m2_nha st_0812_m2_nhpi st_0812_m2_nhoth g12_reg_tot g12_reg_hisp g12_reg_asn g12_reg_fil g12_voters_tot g12_voters_hisp g12_voters_asn g12_voters_fil blk_totpop blk_age0_19 blk_age20_60 blk_age60plus blk_age65plus blk_china blk_filip blk_japan blk_korea blk_viet blk_mex blk_arab blk_bornus blk_immigrant blk_cit blk_noncit blk_pop5plus blk_english blk_spanish blk_asian_lang blk_other_lang blk_eng_nvw blk_pop25plus blk_nohsdeg blk_hs_grad blk_bachelor blk_graddegree blk_pop3plusinschool blk_inschoolprek blk_inschoolk12 blk_inschoolcollege blk_pop16plus blk_employed blk_veteran blk_drivealone blk_carpool blk_pubtrans blk_walk blk_workathome blk_workprimsec blk_workconstruct blk_workmanuf blk_workwhole blk_workretail blk_worktrans blk_workinfo blk_workfinance blk_workprofadmin blk_workeduchealth blk_workartsfood blk_workothnongov blk_workgov blk_hhs blk_fams blk_child blk_pop15plus blk_married blk_separated blk_divorced blk_widowed blk_nevermarried blk_hhinc0_25k blk_hhinc25_50k blk_hhinc50_75k blk_hhinc75_200k blk_hhinc200k_plus blk_faminc0_25k blk_faminc25_50k blk_faminc50_75k blk_faminc75_200k blk_faminc200k_plus blk_housing blk_vacant blk_occupied blk_rented blk_owned blk_singlefamily blk_multifamily Moreno Valley 2014 Demographic Template Total Total Pop Deviation from ideal % Hisp % NH White % NH Black % Asian-American Voting Age Pop % Spanish-Surnamed % Asian-Surnamed % Filipino-Surnamed Age age0-19 age20-60 age60plus Immigration immigrants Housing Stats vacant occupied rented owned singlefamily multifamily Language spoken at home english spanish asian-lang Children at Home child-under18 Work (percent of pop age 16+) employed Commute on Public Transit Household Income hhincome0-25k hhincome25-50k hhincome50-75k hhincome75-200k hhincome200k-plus Education (among those age 25+) hs-grad bachelor graduatedegree Voter Registration (Nov 2012) Voter Turnout (Nov 2012) Citizen Voting Age Pop Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census. Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database, Nov. 2012 data. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other demographics from the 2008-2012 American Community Survey 5-year data. Moreno Valley 2014 Demographics of the Existing Districts Copy and paste/transpose the Maptitude District numbers, column titles, and full data below here other lang ____________ Demographic Template g12_vot_tot g12_vot_asn g12_vot_fil g12_reg_latino g12_vot_latino Child in Household blk_eng_lvw g14_reg_tot g14_reg_latino g14_reg_asn g14_reg_fil g14_reg_oth_nhwht g14_reg_oth_nhblk g14_vote_tot g14_vote_latino g14_vote_asn g14_vote_fil g14_vote_oth_nhwht g14_vote_oth_nhblk ACS Pop. Est. g12_reg_oth_nhwht g12_reg_oth_nhblk g12_vot_oth_nhwht g12_vot_oth_nhblk g12_reg_ssn g12_vot_ssn g14_reg_ssn g14_vote_ssn naturalized Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less than Very Well" income 0-25k income 25-50k income 50-75k income 75-200k income 200k-plus single family multi-family g14_reg_dem g14_reg_rep g14_reg_dts g14_reg_oth g14_vot_dem g14_vot_rep g14_vot_dts g14_vot_oth Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database. g16_reg_tot g16_reg_dem g16_reg_rep g16_reg_oth g16_reg_lat g16_reg_asn g16_reg_fil g16_reg_ssn g16_vote_tot g16_vote_dem g16_vote_rep g16_vote_oth g16_vote_lat g16_vote_asn g16_vote_fil g16_vote_ssn Voter Turnout (Nov 2016) Pct of Pop. Age 16+ Total population data from the 2010 Decennial Census. g16_reg_dts g16_vote_dts g16_reg_wht g16_reg_blk g16_vote_wht g16_vote_blk [Hispanic Origin] [18+_Pop] [H18+_Pop] [NH18+_Wht] [NH18+_DOJ_Blk] [NH18+_DOJ_Ind] [NH18+_DOJ_Asn] [NH18+_DOJ_Hwn] [NH18+_DOJ_Oth] [NH18+_DOJ_OthMR] Count Pct Hisp NH White NH Black Asian-American Asian/Pac.Isl. Latino est. Spanish-Surnamed Asian-Surnamed Filipino-Surnamed NH White est. NH Black est. Category Field 4 ideal: 5 ideal: st1317_m1_tot st1317_m1_h st1317_m1_nhw st1317_m1_nhb st1317_m1_nhi st1317_m1_nha st1317_m1_nhpi st1317_m1_nhoth st1317_m2_totbyagg st1317_m2_h st1317_m2_nhw st1317_m2_nhb st1317_m2_nhi st1317_m2_nha st1317_m2_nhpi st1317_m2_nhoth acs1317_m1_tot acs1317_m1_h acs1317_m1_nhw acs1317_m1_nhb acs1317_m1_nhi acs1317_m1_nha acs1317_m1_nhpi acs1317_m1_nhoth acs1317_m1_nhothmr acs1317_m2_h acs1317_m2_nhw acs1317_m2_blk acs1317_m2_ind acs1317_m2_asn acs1317_m2_hwn acs1317_m2_oth acs1317_m2_othmr acs1317_m2_totbyagg g18_reg_tot g18_reg_lat g18_reg_asn g18_reg_fil g18_reg_wht g18_reg_blk g18_reg_ssn g18_reg_dem g18_reg_rep g18_reg_dts g18_reg_oth g18_vote_tot g18_vote_lat g18_vote_asn g18_vote_fil g18_vote_wht g18_vote_blk g18_vote_ssn g18_vote_dem g18_vote_rep g18_vote_dts g18_vote_oth Voter Registration (Nov 2018) Voter Turnout (Nov 2018) Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estimates. NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other demographics from the 2013-2017 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data. Palm Desert