HomeMy WebLinkAboutPalm Desert Forum 20200212 v1City of Tulare 2011 Redistricting
Palm DesertPart I: Introduction to Districting
February 12, 2020
Election Systems
“At Large”
“From District” or “Residence” Districts
“By District”
The California Voting Rights Act was written to specifically encourage by-district elections.
February 12, 2020
California Voting Rights Act (CVRA)
Under the Federal Voting Rights Act (passed in 1965), a jurisdiction must fail 4 factual tests before it is in violation of the law.
The California VRA makes it significantly easier for plaintiffs to force jurisdictions into “by-district” election systems by eliminating two of the US Supreme Court Gingles tests:
Can the protected class constitute the majority of a district?
Does the protected class vote as a bloc?
Do the voters who are not in the protected class vote in a bloc to defeat the preferred candidates of the protected class?
Do the “totality of circumstances” indicate race is a factor in elections?
Liability is now determined only by the presence of racially polarized voting
February 12, 2020
CVRA Impact
Switched (or in the process of switching) as a result of CVRA:
At least 215 school districts
34 Community College Districts
126 cities
1 County Board of Supervisors
35 water and other special districts.
Cases So Far:
Palmdale, Santa Clara and Santa Monica went to trial on the merits. Palmdale and Santa Clara lost. Santa Monica is awaiting a decision.
Modesto and Palmdale each spent about $1.8 million on their defense (in addition to the attorney fee awards in those cases). Santa Monica has spent an estimated $6 to $8 million so far. Plaintiff has requested $22 million in fees.
Key settlements:
Palmdale: $4.7 million
Modesto: $3 million
Highland: $1.3 million
Anaheim: $1.1 million
Whittier: $1 million
Santa Barbara: $600,000
Tulare Hospital: $500,000
Compton Unified: $200,000
Madera Unified: about $170,000
Hanford Joint Union Schools: $118,000
Merced City: $42,000
An estimated $16 million in total settlements and court awards so far.
February 12, 2020
Inland Empire Impact
The Inland Empire has been particularly hard-hit by CVRA challenges.
February 12, 2020
Districting Process
Event & Date
Description
Community Forums: Jan. 15 and Feb. 12
Discuss transition, criteria, process and mapping tools
Two Initial Hearings: Feb. 13 and 27
Held prior to release of draft maps.
Education and to solicit input on the communities in the District.
Initial Map Deadline: Friday, Feb. 28
Last day for residents to submit initial draft maps.
Release Draft Maps: March 5
Maps must be posted online at least 7 days prior to 3rd hearing.
Draft Map Hearing: March 12
First of two Council hearings to discuss and revise the draft maps and to discuss the election sequence.
Final Map Deadline: Friday, March 13
Last day for residents to submit maps for Council consideration
Maps Posted: March 19th
Maps must be posted online at least 7 days prior to 4th hearing.
Map Hearing: March 26
Second of two Council hearings to discuss and select a map and to discuss and select the election sequence. Introduction of ordinance.
Final Adoption: April 16
Fifth hearing and second reading of ordinance.
November 3, 2020
First by-district election for Central District and two seats in District 2
2021
Map updated to reflect 2020 Census Data
November 2022
First by-district election for remaining two seats in District 2
February 12, 2020
Districting Rules and Goals
3. Other Traditional Redistricting Principles
1. Federal Laws
2. California Criteria for Cities *
Geographically contiguous
Undivided neighborhoods and “communities of interest” (Socio-economic geographic areas that should be kept together)
Easily identifiable boundaries
Compact(Do not bypass one group of people to get to a more distant group of people)
Respect voters’ choices / continuity in office
Future population growth
Equal Population
Federal Voting Rights Act
No Racial Gerrymandering
* New California Elections Code Sec. 21601(c) and 21621(c) rules for all maps adopted starting January 1, 2020
February 12, 2020
Demographic Summary
The single-member Central District (District 1) needs about 9,689 residents.
The four-member District 2 needs about 38,756 residents
(four times District 1).
Sources: 2010 Census, California Statewide Database (2016 and 2018 November elections), 2013-2017 American Community Survey Special Tabulation of Citizen Voting Age data, and 2013-2017 American Community Survey data. "Latino" registration and turnout numbers are Spanish-surnamed data adjusted with US Census Population Division's California adjustment factor.
February 12, 2020
Latino Population
Latinos are particularly concentrated in the center of the city, between Hwy 111 and Castellana.
February 12, 2020
Palm DesertSettlement
City agreed to implement a two-district solution, with Ranked Choice Voting
One center-City district elects one Councilmember every four years, starting in 2020
The rest of the City is in a second district that elects four Councilmembers (two each election year)
February 12, 2020
Defining Communities of Interest
1st Question: what is your neighborhood or community of interest?
A Community of Interest is generally defined as a neighborhood or community of shared interests, views, problems, or characteristics. Possible community feature/boundary definitions include:
School attendance areas
Natural neighborhood dividing lines, such as highway or major roads, rivers, canals, and/or hills
Areas around parks and other neighborhood landmarks
Common issues, neighborhood activities, or legislative/election concerns
Shared demographic characteristics
Such as similar levels of income, education, or linguistic isolation
2nd Question: Should a given Community of Interest be united in one district, or would it benefit from multiple representatives?
February 12, 2020
Identifying Communities of Interest
We want to hear from you:
What do you consider the central neighborhoods and/or communities of interest that should be kept together in the Central District?
February 12, 2020
Any questions about the material covered so far?
Looking at the maps on the tables, what do you see as the neighborhoods and communities of interest?
Remember, the second district needs a way to connect the north and south around the Central District.
Table Discussions
February 12, 2020
Palm DesertPart II: Optional Mapping Tools
February 12, 2020
Public Mapping Tools
Whether you use the powerful (but complicated) online mapping tool, Excel, the paper kit, or just draw on a napkin, we welcome your maps!
These tools are designed as ways to empower residents. There is no requirement to use them.
February 12, 2020
https://ndcresearch.maps.arcgis.com/apps/View/index.html?appid=b71ef25ab6d24af0b0516b8ae9d51e95
Interactive Map
One-Page Mapping Kit
Very simple tool:
Draw your lines, add up the population counts, and submit your map.
You may divide a population unit, as long as you follow streets as your border. Census Block by Census Block population counts are available as an option in the interactive map.
February 12, 2020
https://ndcresearch.maps.arcgis.com/apps/View/index.html?appid=b71ef25ab6d24af0b0516b8ae9d51e95
Interactive Map
Using the Excel tool
Enter the district assignment in the highlighted column, and Excel will calculate the resulting demographic changes.
Be careful: non-contiguous pieces are a common mistake when using the Excel kit.
February 12, 2020
https://inzolia.caliper.com/PalmDesert/
https://inzolia.caliper.com/PalmDesert/
Using the online tool
1
1: Create a username and password, then log in
2: Use “Tips” to learn about the different parts of the system
3: Check your finished map for non-contiguous or unassigned areas
4: “Share” your map with others and “Submit” your map when finished
2
4
3
Show Excel file
Show interactive map
District
Population
Deviation
% Deviation
% Hispanic Origin
% NH_Wht
% NH_DOJ_Blk
% NH_DOJ_Asn
% 18+_Pop
% H18+_Pop
% NH18+_Wht
% NH18+_DOJ_Blk
% NH18+_DOJ_Asn
% st_0812_m2_totbydisagg
% st_0812_m2_h
% st_0812_m2_nhw
% st_0812_m2_nhb
% st_0812_m2_nha
% g12_reg_tot
% g12_reg_hisp
% g12_reg_asn
% g12_reg_fil
% g12_voters_tot
% g12_voters_hisp
% g12_voters_asn
% g12_voters_fil
% blk_age0_19
% blk_age20_60
% blk_age60plus
% blk_age65plus
% blk_china
% blk_filip
% blk_japan
% blk_korea
% blk_viet
% blk_mex
% blk_arab
% blk_bornus
% blk_immigrant
% blk_cit
% blk_noncit
% blk_english
% blk_spanish
% blk_asian_lang
% blk_other_lang
% blk_eng_nvw
% blk_nohsdeg
% blk_hs_grad
% blk_bachelor
% blk_graddegree
% blk_inschoolprek
% blk_inschoolk12
% blk_inschoolcollege
% blk_employed
% blk_veteran
% blk_drivealone
% blk_carpool
% blk_pubtrans
% blk_walk
% blk_workathome
% blk_workprimsec
% blk_workconstruct
% blk_workmanuf
% blk_workwhole
% blk_workretail
% blk_worktrans
% blk_workinfo
% blk_workfinance
% blk_workprofadmin
% blk_workeduchealth
% blk_workartsfood
% blk_workothnongov
% blk_workgov
% blk_child
% blk_married
% blk_separated
% blk_divorced
% blk_widowed
% blk_nevermarried
% blk_hhinc0_25k
% blk_hhinc25_50k
% blk_hhinc50_75k
% blk_hhinc75_200k
% blk_hhinc200k_plus
% blk_faminc0_25k
% blk_faminc25_50k
% blk_faminc50_75k
% blk_faminc75_200k
% blk_faminc200k_plus
% blk_vacant
% blk_occupied
% blk_rented
% blk_owned
% blk_singlefamily
% blk_multifamily
Hispanic Origin
NH_Wht
NH_DOJ_Blk
NH_DOJ_Ind
NH_DOJ_Asn
NH_DOJ_Hwn
NH_DOJ_Oth
NH_DOJ_OthMR
18+_Pop
H18+_Pop
NH18+_Wht
NH18+_DOJ_Blk
NH18+_DOJ_Ind
NH18+_DOJ_Asn
NH18+_DOJ_Hwn
NH18+_DOJ_Oth
NH18+_DOJ_OthMR
st_0812_m2_totbydisagg
st_0812_m2_h
st_0812_m2_nhw
st_0812_m2_nhb
st_0812_m2_nhi
st_0812_m2_nha
st_0812_m2_nhpi
st_0812_m2_nhoth
g12_reg_tot
g12_reg_hisp
g12_reg_asn
g12_reg_fil
g12_voters_tot
g12_voters_hisp
g12_voters_asn
g12_voters_fil
blk_totpop
blk_age0_19
blk_age20_60
blk_age60plus
blk_age65plus
blk_china
blk_filip
blk_japan
blk_korea
blk_viet
blk_mex
blk_arab
blk_bornus
blk_immigrant
blk_cit
blk_noncit
blk_pop5plus
blk_english
blk_spanish
blk_asian_lang
blk_other_lang
blk_eng_nvw
blk_pop25plus
blk_nohsdeg
blk_hs_grad
blk_bachelor
blk_graddegree
blk_pop3plusinschool
blk_inschoolprek
blk_inschoolk12
blk_inschoolcollege
blk_pop16plus
blk_employed
blk_veteran
blk_drivealone
blk_carpool
blk_pubtrans
blk_walk
blk_workathome
blk_workprimsec
blk_workconstruct
blk_workmanuf
blk_workwhole
blk_workretail
blk_worktrans
blk_workinfo
blk_workfinance
blk_workprofadmin
blk_workeduchealth
blk_workartsfood
blk_workothnongov
blk_workgov
blk_hhs
blk_fams
blk_child
blk_pop15plus
blk_married
blk_separated
blk_divorced
blk_widowed
blk_nevermarried
blk_hhinc0_25k
blk_hhinc25_50k
blk_hhinc50_75k
blk_hhinc75_200k
blk_hhinc200k_plus
blk_faminc0_25k
blk_faminc25_50k
blk_faminc50_75k
blk_faminc75_200k
blk_faminc200k_plus
blk_housing
blk_vacant
blk_occupied
blk_rented
blk_owned
blk_singlefamily
blk_multifamily
Moreno Valley 2014 Demographic Template
Total
Total Pop
Deviation from ideal
% Hisp
% NH White
% NH Black
% Asian-American
Voting Age Pop
% Spanish-Surnamed
% Asian-Surnamed
% Filipino-Surnamed
Age
age0-19
age20-60
age60plus
Immigration
immigrants
Housing Stats
vacant
occupied
rented
owned
singlefamily
multifamily
Language spoken at home
english
spanish
asian-lang
Children at Home
child-under18
Work (percent of pop age 16+)
employed
Commute on Public Transit
Household Income
hhincome0-25k
hhincome25-50k
hhincome50-75k
hhincome75-200k
hhincome200k-plus
Education (among those age 25+)
hs-grad
bachelor
graduatedegree
Voter Registration (Nov 2012)
Voter Turnout (Nov 2012)
Citizen Voting Age Pop
Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database, Nov. 2012 data.
Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other demographics from the 2008-2012 American Community Survey 5-year data.
Moreno Valley 2014 Demographics of the Existing Districts
Copy and paste/transpose the Maptitude District numbers, column titles, and full data below here
other lang
____________ Demographic Template
g12_vot_tot
g12_vot_asn
g12_vot_fil
g12_reg_latino
g12_vot_latino
Child in Household
blk_eng_lvw
g14_reg_tot
g14_reg_latino
g14_reg_asn
g14_reg_fil
g14_reg_oth_nhwht
g14_reg_oth_nhblk
g14_vote_tot
g14_vote_latino
g14_vote_asn
g14_vote_fil
g14_vote_oth_nhwht
g14_vote_oth_nhblk
ACS Pop. Est.
g12_reg_oth_nhwht
g12_reg_oth_nhblk
g12_vot_oth_nhwht
g12_vot_oth_nhblk
g12_reg_ssn
g12_vot_ssn
g14_reg_ssn
g14_vote_ssn
naturalized
Language Fluency
Speaks Eng. "Less than Very Well"
income 0-25k
income 25-50k
income 50-75k
income 75-200k
income 200k-plus
single family
multi-family
g14_reg_dem
g14_reg_rep
g14_reg_dts
g14_reg_oth
g14_vot_dem
g14_vot_rep
g14_vot_dts
g14_vot_oth
Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.
g16_reg_tot
g16_reg_dem
g16_reg_rep
g16_reg_oth
g16_reg_lat
g16_reg_asn
g16_reg_fil
g16_reg_ssn
g16_vote_tot
g16_vote_dem
g16_vote_rep
g16_vote_oth
g16_vote_lat
g16_vote_asn
g16_vote_fil
g16_vote_ssn
Voter Turnout (Nov 2016)
Pct of Pop. Age 16+
Total population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
g16_reg_dts
g16_vote_dts
g16_reg_wht
g16_reg_blk
g16_vote_wht
g16_vote_blk
[Hispanic Origin]
[18+_Pop]
[H18+_Pop]
[NH18+_Wht]
[NH18+_DOJ_Blk]
[NH18+_DOJ_Ind]
[NH18+_DOJ_Asn]
[NH18+_DOJ_Hwn]
[NH18+_DOJ_Oth]
[NH18+_DOJ_OthMR]
Count
Pct
Hisp
NH White
NH Black
Asian-American
Asian/Pac.Isl.
Latino est.
Spanish-Surnamed
Asian-Surnamed
Filipino-Surnamed
NH White est.
NH Black est.
Category
Field
4 ideal:
5 ideal:
st1317_m1_tot
st1317_m1_h
st1317_m1_nhw
st1317_m1_nhb
st1317_m1_nhi
st1317_m1_nha
st1317_m1_nhpi
st1317_m1_nhoth
st1317_m2_totbyagg
st1317_m2_h
st1317_m2_nhw
st1317_m2_nhb
st1317_m2_nhi
st1317_m2_nha
st1317_m2_nhpi
st1317_m2_nhoth
acs1317_m1_tot
acs1317_m1_h
acs1317_m1_nhw
acs1317_m1_nhb
acs1317_m1_nhi
acs1317_m1_nha
acs1317_m1_nhpi
acs1317_m1_nhoth
acs1317_m1_nhothmr
acs1317_m2_h
acs1317_m2_nhw
acs1317_m2_blk
acs1317_m2_ind
acs1317_m2_asn
acs1317_m2_hwn
acs1317_m2_oth
acs1317_m2_othmr
acs1317_m2_totbyagg
g18_reg_tot
g18_reg_lat
g18_reg_asn
g18_reg_fil
g18_reg_wht
g18_reg_blk
g18_reg_ssn
g18_reg_dem
g18_reg_rep
g18_reg_dts
g18_reg_oth
g18_vote_tot
g18_vote_lat
g18_vote_asn
g18_vote_fil
g18_vote_wht
g18_vote_blk
g18_vote_ssn
g18_vote_dem
g18_vote_rep
g18_vote_dts
g18_vote_oth
Voter Registration (Nov 2018)
Voter Turnout (Nov 2018)
Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estimates. NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other demographics from the 2013-2017 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
Palm Desert